The Houston Texans will travel to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday afternoon to take on the Miami Dolphins in a Week 9 matchup. The Texans are last in the AFC South with a 1-7 record and are coming off a 38-22 home loss against the Los Angeles Rams. Davis Mills finished 29-of-38 for 310 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. The Dolphins are last in the AFC East with a 1-7 record and are coming off a 26-11 road loss against the Buffalo Bills. Tua Tagovailoa finished 21-of-39 for 205 yards with an interception.
Texans at Dolphins Stats
Looking at the Texans stats
The Houston Texans have been throwing the ball to wide receiver Brandin Cooks often as he has 51 receptions for 585 yards (11.5 yards per catch) with a pair of touchdowns. In his last game against the Los Angeles Rams, he had six catches on six targets for 83 yards (13.8 yards per reception) with a touchdown. If he can continue to get a huge percentage of the targets, it will be a great sign.
The Houston Texans have been struggling defensively as they are giving up 30.1 points per game. In their previous game against the Rams, they allowed 38 points on 467 total yards of offense (302 passing, 165 rushings). They will be in a good spot if they can stop the run better than 5.3 yards per carrying.
Looking at the Dolphins stats
Tight end Mike Gesicki has been playing well as he has 40 receptions for 475 yards (11.9 yards per catch) with two touchdowns. In his last game against the Bills, he had three catches on four targets for 48 yards (16 yards per reception). If he can continue to be a security blanket for the offense, it will help them here.
This season, the Miami Dolphins have been a terrible defensive team as they are allowing 29.1 points per game. In their previous game against the Buffalo Bills, they gave up 26 points on 351 total yards of offense (249 passing, 102 rushings). They did a decent job defending on third and fourth down as the Bills went 6-of-13 on third down and failed to convert their only fourth-down attempt. If they can get some stops against a weaker offense, it will put them in a better position to win.
Betting Trends for Texans at Dolphins
- The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four matchups
- Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win
- Texans are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games
- The Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs a team with a losing road record
- 9-4 ATS in their previous 13 home games
Who to Bet Texans at Dolphins
These teams are very similar with their underperformance as they struggle and compete for the bottom of the AFC. The Texans are scoring just 10.4 points per game in their previous five games, while the Dolphins are scoring 19.7 points in their last three games. The top sportsbooks are making it a touchdown separating these teams, and Tua Tagovailoa has been the better quarterback in this game. Houston has already traded away Mark Ingram and could continue to give up talent before this game. All in all, go with the Miami Dolphins to win by double-digits.
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