It’s a matchup of two of the league’s worst defenses through two weeks when the Kansas City Chiefs visit the Washington Football. KC is giving up 32.8 ppg, which was kind of expected before the season started, but WFT’s defense was supposed to be their identity, and they’re giving up 31 points per game.
The Sportsbooks total of 55.5 for this game looks like it will be pummeled on the side of the over. We know the Chiefs can score against anybody, but at the same time, Kansas City is a sieve on defense, and WFT has moved the ball well with Heinicke in at QB.
People Starting to Sour on Kansas City?
The Chiefs have been the darlings of the NFL for the last 3-4 years and have never really had to play the “us against the world” card. That time may be now, though, as KC at 2-3 sits in the basement of what looks like a pretty good AFC West.
Make no mistake Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and the Chiefs offense are still dangerous. Mahomes is completing nearly 70% of his passes and leads the NFL with 16 TD passes. Mahomes has struggled with INTs this year though throwing five over the last three weeks.
Hill had a three TD game in week three against Philadelphia, and Kelce broke a two-game scoreless streak with a TD catch last week in the 38-20 loss to Buffalo. The Chiefs offense gets a matchup with a Washington team giving up 293.4 ypg through the air, which is 27th in the NFL. Jameis Winston had a 4 TD game last week vs. WFT.
Washington Defense In for a Beating?
One thing to note about the Chiefs is that Clyde Edwards-Helaire could miss this matchup with a knee injury. He had posted a couple of consecutive 100+ yard rushing games before getting hurt vs. the Bills, and backup Darrel Williams has 99 yards on the ground all season.
Kansas City might pass even more with no run game, which is not what Washington DC Jack Del Rio wants to hear. Besides the big day given up to Winston, WFT allowed a 4 TD pass day to Matt Ryan, and 4 TD throws from Josh Allen in the two games prior. KC might score every time they have the ball.
Can Taylor Heinicke blow for blow in this meeting? It looks like the Chiefs are going to get theirs, so Heinicke needs to be better than his 20/41 passing day vs. the Saints with two interceptions. A New Orleans team gave up 402 yards to the Giants’ Daniel Jones the game prior.
The good news for the Washington offense is that the Saints were a top 5 defensive unit last season and have the potential to be good – but the Chiefs do not. Josh Allen threw for 315 yards and 3 TD on just 15 completions last week vs. KC, and the Eagles put up 460+ yards of total offense against the Chiefs the game prior.
Kansas City at Washington Pick
The Chiefs are -7 favorites on the road on Sunday, and they scored a 12 point win (42-30) at Philadelphia in a similar situation in week four as -7.5 favorites. Sure, the Kansas City defense doesn’t stop anybody, but neither does Washington. Mahomes is looking at a 4+ TD pass day.
Pick: Kansas City -7
If you love sports and want more sports betting information follow us as @InsidersBetDig on Twitter and sign up to our mailing list for free betting picks.