The New England Patriots will travel to Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday night to take on the Indianapolis Colts in an AFC matchup.
The Patriots are leading the AFC East with a 9-4 record and are riding a seven-game winning streak after defeating the Buffalo Bills on the road 14-10. Mac Jones finished 2-of-3 for 19 yards.
The Colts are second in the AFC South with a 7-6 record and are coming off a 31-0 road win over the Houston Texans. Houston’s quarterback Davis Mills went 6-of-14 for 49 yards.
Patriots at Colts Betting Analysis
On the New England Patriots side
Running back Damien Harris is listed as questionable for this game with a hamstring injury but has been the leading rusher for the New England Patriots this season. So far, he has 164 rushing attempts for 754 yards (4.6 yards per carry) with nine rushing touchdowns and 13 receptions for 84 yards (6.5 yards per catch).
In his last game against Buffalo, Harris finished with 10 carries for 111 yards (11.1 yards per attempt) and a rushing touchdown.
The New England Patriots defense has been nothing short of incredible as they are giving up 15.4 points per game this season. In their previous game against the Buffalo Bills, New England allowed 10 points on 230 total yards of offense (131 passing, 99 rushing).
The Bills struggled on the money downs as they went 4-of-13 on third down attempts and failed to convert their only fourth down opportunity. New England needs to limit the number of rushing yards against them as Buffalo has averaged four yards per attempt.
On the Indianapolis Colts side
The Indianapolis Colts have been relying on running back Jonathan Taylor this season. He has 241 carries for 1,348 yards (5.6 yards per attempt) with 16 rushing touchdowns and 36 catches for 336 yards (9.3 yards per reception) with two receiving touchdowns.
In his last game against Houston, Taylor had 32 rushing attempts for 143 yards (4.5 yards per carrying) and two rushing touchdowns.
The Indianapolis Colts have been playing well on the defensive side of the ball as they are allowing 21.8 points per game. In their previous game against the Houston Texans, Indianapolis did not give up any points on 141 total yards of offense (57 passing, 84 rushing).
The Texans were just 3-of-12 on third down attempts and did not convert on any of their three fourth down attempts. Indy forced a pair of turnovers (one fumble recovery, one interception).
New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts Prediction
According to the top sportsbooks in the entire nation, the Indianapolis Colts are considered to be under a field goal favorite at home in this game against the New England Patriots.
The defenses are stepping up and creating some separation. They are going at two completely different levels as New England is allowing just 7.2 points in their previous five games while Indianapolis is giving up 20 points in that same stretch of games.
The Patriots are 5-1 against the spread in their previous six games against the Colts so go with the New England Patriots getting points on the road to cover the spread.