The New York Jets (7-4) travel to Minnesota for a 1 p.m. kickoff with the Vikings (9-2) Sunday afternoon.
Jets’ Performance Recap
The game has enormous implications not only in the playoff picture but in the NFL standings in the AFC and the New York Jets standings within their division.
The game is one of eight games on the NFL schedule in the 1 p.m. window, and a win by the home team will help them keep up with the one-loss Eagles in the race for home-field throughout the playoffs.
Vikings’ Performance Recap
Minnesota is coming off a dramatic 33-26 win over the Patriots on Thanksgiving night, a week after being embarrassed at home by the Cowboys.
The Jets also enter with a win, a 31-10 decision over Chicago, which saw Mike White start in place of the benched Zach Wilson at quarterback.
New York Jets vs. Minnesota Vikings
Matchup Info
- Date: Saturday, December 4, 2022
- Time: 1:00 p.m.
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota - How to Watch: CBS
Jets Performance Recap and Analysis
The Jets season has been up and down to say the least. Second year QB Zach Wilson got the team to a 6-4 record over the firsts 10 weeks of the season.
However, it was the defense that ranks fourth in the NFL in scoring that deserves most of the credit. Many Jets fans argued the team would have a few additional wins if Wilson was not on the field.
Coach Salah’s Decision
Last week, head coach Robert Salah made the decision to bench the former BYU college superstar, and rock with backup QB Mike white. The Jets thumped the Bears, 31-10, and moved on to 7-1.
Mike White will be the starter for the foreseeable future, but it’s the defense on this team that makes the Jets a threat.
Key Injuries
The Jets are dealing with two injuries, TE Kenny Yeboah (calf) and RB Michael Carter (ankle). Yeboah has missed the last two games, and Carter left last week’s win over Chicago.
The status of the pair is unknown at this time, as they are both listed as questionable.
Betting Trends to Know
- The Jets are 7-4 this season against the spread.
- New York is 3-1 against the spread as road dogs, winning three of those games straight up.
Vikings Performance Recap and Analysis
The Minnesota Vikings come into the week with a 9-2 record, and sit in second place in the NFC standings, one game out from the one seed and a first round bye.
It sounds like the Vikings have had an excellent season, but when you look with a magnifying glass, you’ll see some alarming holes in this team.
A +5 Differential
Somehow at 9-2, the Vikings only have a +5 point differential against their opponents. Through 11 games, this is amongst the worst in the history of the league for a nine team.
Yes, the Vikings are winning, but they are not dominating. And in their two losses, the Vikings are getting outscored 64-10.
Key Injuries
Vikes received tough news early last week as defensive back Andrew Booth, Jr., a second-round pick out of Clemson, underwent surgery on his knee and could be gone for the season. This is a big blow to the Viking defensive backfield and could potentially impact NFL odds and line movement.
Fellow corner Akayleb Evans has missed two games due to concussion protocol and could miss a third. Tackle Christian Darrisaw also is in concussion protocol and could miss his second game in succession.
Betting Trends to Know
- The Vikings are 5-5-1 against the number this season.
- Minnesota is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite in 2022.
- Minnesota is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five as a favorite of three or fewer.
- In the last four NFL matchups the Vikings were a home favorite; the over has hit.
Jets vs. Vikings Odds
Currently, the Vikings are a 3-point home favorite. The total for the contest is 45.5. The Jets are + 135 on the money line, while Minnesota is -165. This is crucial to keep in mind when making Jets vs Vikings betting picks.
Jets vs. Vikings Betting Picks
Moneyline
Vikings have been a solid home side, and we aren’t quite sold on White. With Carter’s status questionable, we like the Vikings on the moneyline in this spot.
Both teams have a lot to play for, and a quick glance at Minnesota Vikings stats shows Justin Jefferson as one of the game’s most explosive and elite performers. We’ll ride with him and the Vikings.
NFL Pick: Vikings (-155)
Over-Under
The Viking defense does not jump off the page statistically, as they allow 23.8 points per game and are second to last in the NFL in yards allowed.
The wild card and key to our Jets vs Vikings betting picks is how well Mike White plays.
If the Jets can score three touchdowns, this game becomes a shootout, and it flies over. However, given White’s relative inexperience and the fact that his team’s leading active rusher (Breece Hall, out for the year), Michael Carter, may not play is a huge question mark.
We just have a feeling that the Jet defense will play tough and somehow limit the Viking running game, and although Jefferson may have a banner day, it won’t be enough to have the game go over. Take the under.
NFL Pick: Under 44.5 (-110)
Spread
With the number sitting at three, there isn’t a ton of benefit in taking the underdog. If the number was 3.5 or more, the Jets might be a prudent play.
Minnesota has simply found ways to win, and its ATS is somewhat misleading since it started the season 0-4 against the number.
NFL Pick: Vikings -3 (-105)
Jets vs. Vikings Score Prediction
We will take the home team and lay the points, probably the most confident of our Jets vs. Minnesota betting picks. In examining everything, we are calling the score Minnesota 27, New York Jets 17.
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