The Minnesota Wild and Dallas Stars enter Tuesday with their first-round Stanley Cup playoffs series tied at 2-2 and 4-4 in the head-to-head series this season. Almost everything about the Wild vs Stars is evenly matched, with these teams trading wins back and forth most of the season.
We’ll review the stats, trends, odds, and the series so far in our Wild vs Stars prediction.
Wild vs. Stars Odds
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars Information
Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars
Location of the game: American Airlines Arena, Dallas, TX.
Date & Time: Tuesday, April 25th, 2023, 8 PM ET.
How to watch: TBS | Sportsnet | TVAS
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars Recent Scores
In the previous six Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild games, the teams have swapped wins, with both teams having a 4-4 head-to-head record.
Games 1 and 4 ended in a 3-2 final score and hit the under, while games two and three hit the over, with Game 2 ending in a 7-3 Dallas win and Game 3 ending in a 5-1 Minnesota win.
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars Betting Analysis
Minnesota Wild
The Wild are 2-6 in their previous eight games against teams with winning records.
Minnesota averages 3.25 goals in the NHL playoffs, while the powerplay is converting at 23.5%. Defensively, The Wild are giving up 3.25 goals per game, while the penalty kill has been bad, operating at 56.2%.
While Kirill Kaprizov led the Wild in NHL player stats in the regular season with 75 points (40 goals, 35 assists), Ryan Hartman and Mats Zuccarello lead Minnesota in playoff scoring with five points each (two goals, three assists each).
Dallas Stars
Dallas are 5-1 in the last six home games.
In the playoffs, the Dallas Stars score an average of 3.25 goals per game, while the powerplay operates at 43.8%. Defensively, the Stars are giving up 3.25 goals per game, while the penalty kill is operating at 76.5%.
Jason Robertson led the Stars in scoring in the regular season with 109 points (46 goals, 63 assists). Roope Hintz leads Dallas in playoff scoring with eight points (four goals, four assists).
Updates
Dallas center Joe Pavelski is listed as out with a concussion, while center Joel Eriksson Ek is listed as questionable for Minnesota on the NHL injury report.
We expect both NHL teams to start the same goalies as in Game 4.
The Wild will likely start Filip Gustavsson (22-9-7, 2.10 GAA, .908 SV%) in Game 5, who has a 2-1-0 record, a 1.72 GAA, and a .941 SV%.
The Stars will likely counter with Jake Oettinger (37-11-11, 2.37 GAA, .919 SV%) in Game 5, who has a 2-2-0 record, a 2.68 GAA, and a .909 SV%.
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars Betting Preview
Before we make our picks for our Wild vs Stars prediction, we need to review the NHL odds and betting records.
Moneyline: The Minnesota Wild (+1.5) are the betting underdog, listed between +118 and +125. The Dallas Stars (-1.5) are the home favorite, listed between -140 and -148. Minnesota has a 39-47 ats record, while Dallas has a 45-41 ats record.
Over/Under Total: The total goals line is set at 5.5, with some sportsbooks listing Game 5 at an NHL-low 4.5 total goals. The over is listed at +105, while the under is listed at -125. Minnesota has a 36-46-4 over/under record, while Dallas has a 36-45-5 over/under record.
Considering the recent NHL playoffs scores, the Wild and Stars have combined for a 3-5 over/under record in eight head-to-head matchups.
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars Betting Prediction
Pick 1: The first of our NHL betting picks in this Wild vs Stars prediction is to take the Minnesota Wild to win Game 5 on the road.
Pick 2: The second of our picks is to take the under of 5.5.
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