The Toronto Maple Leafs entered round two as the favorite in Stanely Cup odds but are facing elimination after dropping three straight games to the Florida Panthers.
The Florida Panthers are on the verge of eliminating a second Eastern Conference powerhouse that finished in the top four in the league after dumping the President’s Trophy-winning Boston Bruins in seven games.
We’ll review the NHL player stats, trends, and Maple Leafs vs Panthers odds before making our game four NHL predictions.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Odds
We start our betting review by reviewing the Maple Leafs vs Panthers odds and betting records.
Despite being on the verge of being eliminated, the Toronto Maple Leafs are the road favorite, listed between -118 and -125. The Florida Panthers are the underdog, listed between even and +105. The Panthers’ NHL odds moneyline were moving as of publication.
Toronto (-1.5) has a 42-49 ats record, while Florida (+1.5) has a 40-52 ats record.
The total goals line is set to 6.5, with the over listed between -130 to -143, while the under is listed between +105 and +112.
The Panthers have a 48-36-8 over/under record, while the Maple Leafs have a 48-36-8 over/under record this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Information
Toronto Maple Leafs (50-21-11, 4-5 playoffs) vs. Florida Panthers (42-32-8, 7-3 playoffs)
Location of the game: FLA Live Arena, Sunrise, Florida
Date & Time: Wednesday, May 10th, 2023, 7:00 PM
How to watch: ESPN, CBC, TVAS, Sportsnet
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Betting Preview
After taking a 3-0 series lead, the Florida Panthers hold a 4-3 head-to-head series lead. The road team is 5-2 this season.
The Panthers have a 23-13-5 home record, while the Maple Leafs have a 23-13-5 road record.
The underdog is 6-0 in the previous six meetings. The road team is 5-1 in the previous six meetings.
The under is 5-0 in the previous five meetings. The under is 5-2 in the head-to-head series this season.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 1-4 in the previous five meetings while posting a 3-9 record in the last 12 meetings in Florida.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Comparing the Toronto Maple Leafs stats in the regular season and playoffs is two different stories, especially on defense.
In the playoffs, Toronto is averaging 3.22 goals per game, while the powerplay is converting at 25.0%.
Defensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.44 goals against, while the penalty kill is operating at 76.0%.
Mitch Marner leads the Maple Leafs in NHL player scoring with 12 points (two goals, ten assists).
With injuries decimating the Maple Leafs’ goaltending depth, Justin Woll (6-1-0, 2.16 GAA, .932 SV%) will get the start for Toronto in game four. Woll has a 0-1-0 record, a 3.85 GAA, and a .846 SV% in the playoffs.
Florida Panthers
The Florida Panthers are averaging 3.6 goals per game, while the powerplay is converting at 25% in offensive NHL team stats.
Defensively, the Panthers average 3.3 goals-against per game, while the penalty-killing unit has struggled in the playoffs, operating at 64.7%.
Matthew Tkachuk leads the Panthers in scoring with 15 points (five goals, ten assists).
We expect Sergei Bobrovsky (24-20-3, 3.07 GAA, .901 SV%) to get the start in game four for Florida. Bobrovsky has a 6-1-0 record, a 3.13 GAA, and a .909 SV% in the playoffs.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Betting Picks
We’re going against the Maple Leafs vs Panthers odds and picking the Florida Panthers to win on the moneyline and sweep the Maple Leafs out of the playoffs.
After making Florida Panthers predictions for a Cats moneyline victory, our second pick is to take this game to hit the under. Justin Woll is a liability in the net for the Leafs, but we expect Toronto to play good defense in front of him for this game to hit the under.
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