All the pressure was on the Toronto Maple Leafs in game four to avoid being swept out of the Stanley Cup playoffs by the Florida Panthers. The Leafs responded with a 2-1 win and one of their best defensive performances of the season. The series shifts back to Toronto for game five, where the Panthers feel no pressure to win but have the betting and head-to-head trends on their side.
We’ll review the stats, trends, odds, and series so far in our Panthers vs Maple Leafs betting preview.
Panthers vs Maple Leafs Odds
Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Information
Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Location of the game: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Date & Time: Friday, May 12th. 7:00 PM ET.
How to watch: TNT | CBC | Sportsnet | TVAS
Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Recent Scores
Making Toronto Maple Leafs picks in the playoffs hasn’t created the same winning results as the regular season, with the Leafs posting a 5-5 playoff record.
However, Toronto won the last game 2-1 on Wednesday night. The Panthers hold a 3-1 series lead.
Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Analysis
The Maple Leafs and Panthers have split the season series 4-4 this season. The Panthers are 4-9 in their last 13 trips to Toronto.
The Panthers had a 19-19-3 road record, while the Maple Leafs had a 27-8-6 home record.
Florida Panthers
The Florida Panthers team stats are slightly better than Toronto’s in five-on-five play. The Panthers average 3.36 goals per game while giving up 3.18 goals per game.
Florida’s powerplay is converting at 25.9%, while the penalty kill is operating at 63.9%.
Matthew Tkachuk leads the Panthers in playoff NHL player stats with 16 points (five goals, 11 assists).
Toronto Maple Leafs
As mentioned, the Maple Leafs NHL team stats in five-on-five play are slightly worse than the Panthers. Toronto is averaging 3.10 goals per game while giving up 3.20 goals per game.
The Maple Leafs hold the special team’s edge. Toronto’s powerplay is converting at 26.7%, while the penalty kill is operating at 75.0%.
Mitch Marner leads the Maple Leafs in playoff scoring with 14 points (three goals, 11 assists).
Updates
The Maple Leafs will start Joseph Woll (6-1-0, 2.16 GAA, .932 SV%) for game five. Woll has a 1-1-0 record, a 2.45 GAA, and .898 SV% since stepping into the net for Ilya Samsonov.
The Panthers will start Sergei Bobrovsky (24-20-3, 3.07 GAA, .901 SV%) again. Bobrovsky has a 6-2-0 record, a 3.00 GAA, and a .910 SV% in the playoffs.
Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
Before we make our Panthers vs Maple Leafs betting picks, we need to quickly review the NHL odds and betting records.
Moneyline: Despite how close this series has been, the Toronto Maple Leafs are significant favorites for game five. The Leafs are listed between -170 and -180. The Panthers are the moneyline underdog, listed between +145 and +150.
The Maple Leafs (-1.5) have a 42-50 ats record, while the Panthers (-1.5) have a 41-52 ats record.
Over/Under Total: The total goals line is set to 6.5, with the over listed from -118 to -125, while the under is listed between +105 and even, depending on your sportsbook of choice.
The road team is 7-1 in head-to-head matchups this season. The underdog is 6-1 in the previous seven matchups.
The under is 6-2, with the last six games hitting the under, and 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Toronto.
Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Prediction
Pick 1: The first pick of our Panthers vs Maple Leafs betting preview is to take the Florida Panthers on the moneyline to win as the road underdog and eliminate the Toronto Maple Leafs from the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Pick 2: The second of our NHL predictions is that game five will follow the trends and hit the under.
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