NHL schedule today features the final head-to-head matchup between the Edmonton Oilers and the Washington Capitals in the 2022-23 season. The Capitals won the first matchup 5-4 on November 7th.
However, things are a little different this time, as the Oilers have won four of their last five while the Capitals have lost three of their previous five.
We’ll review the stats, trends, and odds and find the best Capitals vs Oilers betting picks for your online sport betting ticket. Puck drop is NHL scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET from Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta.
Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers
Matchup Info
- Game: Washington Capitals (10-12-4) at Edmonton Oilers (14-11-0)
- Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
- Day/Time: Monday, December 5th, 8:30 p.m. ET
- Television: ESPN+ | NHLPP
Washington Capitals Performance Recap and Analysis
The Washington Capitals enter Monday night’s game ranked sixth in the Metropolitan Division with a 10-12-4 record. This season, the Capitals’ team NHL stats are not all that impressive.
Washington averages 2.73 goals per game on 29.7 shots while giving up 3.12 goals on 31 shots per game.
Capitals’ Power Play
The Capitals’ power play is converting 20.7% of their chances (nineteen powerplay goals), which is around the league average.
The penalty killers will have their hands full against the Oilers and have killed 80.5% of the Capitals’ penalties this season (fifteen power play goals against).
Ovechkin’s Leadership
As expected, Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals in NHL player stats with twenty-five points (thirteen goals, twelve assists).
After reviewing the Capitals’ goaltending rotation, we expect Washington’s number-one goalie Darcy Kuemper to get the start on Monday night. Kuemper has an 8-9-2 record, with a 2.56 goals-against average and a .916 save percentage.
Key Injuries
Right-winger Tom Wilson and defenseman Dmitry Orlov are on the NHL injury report, listed on the injured reserve list, while Nicklas Bäckström, Connor Brown, and Carl Hagelin are listed on the long-term injured reserve list.
Betting Trends to Know
The under is 6-1 in the Capitals’ last seven games. When a team scores five or more goals, the Washington Capitals are 1-4 in their last five games.
Four of the Capitals’ last five NHL matchups have ended in at least a 1.5-goal spread.
Edmonton Oilers Performance Recap and Analysis
The Edmonton Oilers roster has two fatal flaws: a weak defensive core and a consistent trend of horrible goaltending. This is why the Oilers are as far down the NHL standings as they are.
However, the Oilers enter Monday’s matchup with a 14-11-0 record, having won four of their last five games.
Oilers’ Averaging Numbers
The Oilers are averaging 3.48 goals per game on 31.8 shots while giving up 3.60 goals on 32.9 shots per game.
Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid have the Oilers’ power play among the best in the league, converting on 29.3% of their opportunities (twenty-seven powerplay goals).
Edmonton’s penalty killing has been awful, giving up twenty-nine powerplay goals and only killing 70.4% of the Oilers’ penalties.
Until Connor McDavid decides he doesn’t want to be the best hockey player on the planet or gets injured, he will lead the Oilers’ NHL player stats.
McDavid has forty-seven points (twenty-one goals, twenty-six assists) and should be your prop bet target in any and all NHL games he suits up for.
Oilers’ Goaltending
The Oilers’ goaltending has been particularly putrid for ages, and 2022-23 is no exception. Reviewing the Oilers’ goaltending rotation will not help us figure out who is starting in this game because the Oilers don’t have a rotation or pattern to work from.
However, we expect Stuart Skinner to get the start against the Capitals after defeating the Montreal Canadiens in his last start on December 3rd. Skinner has a 7-5-0 record, with a 2.91 goals-against average and a .914 save percentage.
Key Injuries
The Oilers have right-winger Kailer Yamamoto and center Ryan McLeod listed on the injured reserve. At the same time, Evander Kane and Oscar Kefbom are both listed on the long-term injured reserve list.
Betting Trends to Know
The over will be one of our Capitals vs Oilers betting picks. Why? The Edmonton Oilers can score goals in bunches and have hit the over of 6.5 goals in each of their last five games.
The Oilers have won four of their last five games, with three ending within a one-goal spread.
Connor McDavid is averaging 0.84 goals per game and has scored a goal in four straight games for the Oilers. The Edmonton Oilers are 8-0 against NHL teams with a sub-.400 winning percentage.
Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers Odds
Puckline
The Capitals odds are more promising than their stats and overall record. Washington is listed at +1.5 on the puck line spread, with odds ranging between -185 and -190.
Edmonton is listed at -1.5 on the puck line spread, with odds ranging from +145 to +160. The Oilers have a 12-13 record against the spread, while the Capitals are 10-14 ats.
Moneyline
NHL odds have the Edmonton Oilers listed as the moneyline favorite, with odds between -154 and -160. The Washington Capitals are the underdog, listed between +130 and +135 odds.
We’ve already mentioned that the over is among our Capitals vs Oilers betting picks.
Total
The total goals line is set at 6.5, with the over listed from -120 to -125, while the under is listed between +106 and -102.
The Oilers have a 15-8 over/under record, while the Capitals are 10-14 over/under in 2022-23.
Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers Betting Picks
Moneyline
We’ll take Connor McDavid to defeat the Washington Capitals. He’ll drag the rest of the Oilers along with him, as he does most every night.
Frankly, the Oilers are the better team overall and have been more successful recently. We’ll take the Oilers on the moneyline.
NHL Pick: Oilers (-160)
Over/Under
As mentioned twice, we’re taking the over as one of our Capitals vs Oilers betting picks because of the Edmonton Oilers.
They score a lot of goals, give up a lot of goals, and hit the over quite often, including in each of their last five.
NHL Pick: Over 6.5 (-105)
Spread
We’re taking the Capitals to cover the spread. Washington can win this game outright, but we think Edmonton will fill the net, despite Darcy Kuemper’s best attempts.
However, we believe Kuemper will do enough to keep this close, and the Oilers’ goaltending is awful, so the Capitals will be able to keep pace with Edmonton.
The second of our Capitals vs Oilers betting picks is to take the Capitals to cover the spread.
NHL Pick: Capitals +1.5 (-180)
Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers Score Prediction
We think the Capitals vs. Oilers matchup will be another high-scoring, one-goal affair. For our NHL picks, we think something like another 5-4 or 6-5 finish is likely.
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