The Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs meet for the second time in four days, this time in Pittsburgh.
When they last me in Toronto, the Penguins won 4-2 to take the first of three head-to-head matchups between the Maple Leafs and Penguins. Casey DeSmith got the win for the Penguins, with Erik Kallgren in the net for the Leafs and taking the loss.
We’ll review all the odds, stats, and recent performances before making our Maple Leafs vs Penguins betting predictions. Puck drop for this game is scheduled for 7:00 P.M. ET from Pittsburgh. You can catch this game on NHLPP or ESPN+.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
Matchup Info
- Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Game Time: Tuesday, November 15, 2022. 7:00 P.M. ET
- Watch: NHLPP|ESPN+
Toronto Maple Leafs Performance Recap and Analysis
The Toronto Maple Leafs enter Tuesday’s matchup with the Penguins with an 8-5-3 record. Surprisingly, this record has the Leafs ranked second in Atlantic Division NHL standings.
In their last game, the Maple Leafs erased a two-goal deficit to earn a 3-2 come-from-behind win over the Vancouver Canucks. Auton Matthews scored his seventh goal of the season in the game, yet he is still far from the top of the NHL player stats leaders. Erik Kallgren made twenty-seven saves in the win.
The Toronto Maple Leafs schedule has been identical to the Penguins’ playing on the same days since their last meeting. Unlike the Penguins’ goaltenders, who have been alternated regularly, Toronto has relied on Kallgren since both of their NHL goalies went down with injuries.
We expect Kallgren to start again for the Maple Leafs. Kallgren has a 2-2-3 record with a 2.86 goals-against average and a .921 save percentage. However, Matt Murray is expected to return to the lineup soon and may get his first start since the first game of the season.
NHL stats are essential to any Maple Leafs vs Penguins betting you do. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 2.81 goals per game and 2.75 goals against per game.
The Maple Leafs have scored fourteen powerplay goals, converting on 26.4% of their powerplay opportunities. Toronto’s penalty kill has been more average than the powerplay, giving up 13 goals and killing 76.4% of their penalties.
Key Injuries
The Toronto Maple Leafs don’t want to look at the NHL injury report. The Maple Leafs added Jake Muzzin to the long-term injured reserve list with a cervical spine injury, and he will not be re-evaluated until February 2023.
T.J. Brodie joins Muzzin on the injury report, making that two of Toronto’s top-six defensemen are on the injured list, along with goalies Ilya Samsonov and Matt Murray.
Betting Trends to Know
The Toronto Maple Leafs have won three of their last five NHL matchups but have hit the under in four of those five games.
Pittsburgh Penguins Performance Recap and Analysis
The Pittsburgh Penguins enter Tuesday’s matchup with the Toronto Maple Leafs with a 6-6-3 record.
In their last game, the Pittsburgh Penguins lost 5-4 in overtime to the Montreal Canadiens. Jeff Petry, Rickard Rakell, Evgeni Malkin, and Brok McGinn scored for the Pens, while Tristan Jarry made thirty-seven saves in the loss.
We’re not sure who the Penguin will be starting in the net, as they have been rotating goalies quite frequently. However, Tristan Jarry hasn’t started consecutive games since October 20-24th.
We think Casey DeSmith to get the start for the Penguins. DeSmith has a 2-3-1 record, with a 2.67 goals-against average and a .916 save percentage. If the Penguins go back to Jarry after the loss, he has a 4-3-2 record, with a 3.55 goals-against average and a .900 save percentage.
Evgeni Malkin has tied Sidney Crosby for the Pittsburgh Penguins stats leader. Malkin (seven goals, nine assists) and Crosby (six goals, ten assists) each have sixteen points. The Penguins are averaging 3.60 goals per game and 3.47 goals against per game.
Special teams are significantly important in the NHL and should be considered before making your Maple Leafs vs Penguins betting picks. The Penguins’ powerplay has scored ten goals and is converting on 19.2% of their powerplay opportunities. Pittsburgh’s penalty kill has given up thirteen goals and is killing 75.5% of the Pens’ penalties.
Key Injuries
According to recent news, the Pittsburgh Penguins have three players on the NHL injury report: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Filip Hallander, and Teddy Blueger.
Betting Trends to Know
Pittsburgh’s recent performances are important to our Maple Leafs vs Penguins betting analysis. Pittsburgh has won three of their last five matchups, with only two of those games hitting the over.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Odds
The Toronto Maple Leafs are the very slight moneyline favorite on the NHL schedule today, listed with odds ranging from -107 and -115. The Pittsburgh Penguins are the moneyline underdog, with odds ranging from -105 to -112.
For this Maple Leafs vs Penguins betting preview and prediction, the puck line spread is set to 1.5. Depending on the sportsbook you choose, you can find the Penguins or Maple Leafs as the puck line spread favorite in NHL odds.
The Penguins are mostly listed at +1.5, with odds ranging from -250 to -260. The Maple Leafs are listed at -1.5, with odds ranging from +200 to +210.
Most online sports books have the total goals line set to 6.5, although you can find this game listed at seven goals among various alternative lines.
However, we’ll stick to a total goals line of 6.5. The over is listed with odds averaging -131 on most sportsbooks, while the under has odds ranging from +106 to +110.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Picks
Moneyline: We’re taking Casey DeSmith and the Pittsburgh Penguins to win on the moneyline. We think DeSmith will be the best goalie on the ice and will give the Penguins the best opportunity to outscore the Leafs. The Maple Leafs have an 8-8 moneyline record, while the Penguins have a 6-9 record.
Over/Under: Neither team has a great over/under record: Toronto has a 4-11 over/under record, while Pittsburgh has an 8-7 over/under record. However, these two teams combined for seven goals in their last matchup. We’ll take the under of 6.5 goals for our Maple Leafs vs Penguins betting prediction.
Spread: Neither team has a good record against the spread, which will factor into our NHL picks. The Maple Leafs have a 3-13 record against the spread, while the Penguins are 6-9 against the spread.
We think the Maple Leafs will keep this game close, but they will lose in the end, so we’re taking the Penguins to cover the spread of +1.5 goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Score Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins defeat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2.
NHL Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins on the moneyline (-105 to -112)
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