New York Islanders and Philadelphia Flyers are ready to run it back for the second time in four days. This is the second of four head-to-head NHL matchups between the Islanders and Flyers, with the first being a 5-2 Islanders win on November 26th.
What can we learn from their last matchup and their season stats to make the best NHL picks possible?
We’ll sort through the stats, trends, and odds and make our Islanders vs Flyers game prediction to help you make your NHL picks for Tuesday night successful picks.
Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET from the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. You can catch this game on ESPN+ or Hulu.
New York Islanders vs. Philadelphia Flyers Odds Breakdown
The New York Islanders are listed at -1.5 on the puck line spread, with odds listed between +128 and +140. The Philadelphia Flyers are listed at +1.5, with odds ranging from -158 to -167.
The Islanders have a 15-8 record against the spread, while the Flyers have a 12-10 ats record.
NHL odds have the Islanders as the moneyline favorite, with odds ranging from -175 to -195. The Flyers are the moneyline underdog listed between +145 and +160.
New York has a 15-8 straight-up moneyline record, while Philadelphia has a 7-15 straight-up moneyline record.
The total goals line is set at 6.00, which is slightly down from the 6.5 total goals found in most NHL games.
The over has odds ranging from +100 to -104, while the under is listed between -110 and -120. New York has a 12-11 over/under record, while Philly has a 10-10 over/under record.
New York Islanders vs. Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview
New York Islanders
The Islanders enter Tuesday having won four of their last five and seven of their last ten games.
Three of the Islanders’ last five games have ended with a spread exceeding +1.5 goals, with only two hitting the over of 6 or 6.5 (both include the 5-2 win over the Flyers).
In the 5-2 win over the Flyers on November 26th, the Islanders got goals from Adam Pelech, Brock Nelson, and Anthony Beauvillier, while Zach Parise scored twice on the powerplay to get the win.
The Islanders appear in a groove and ready to maintain their consistent winning play throughout the winter.
Islanders Averaging Numbers
New York averages 3.13 goals per game on 31.0 shots while giving up 2.48 goals per game on 33.0 shots.
The Islanders’ special teams are good enough to make them competitive on any night. The powerplay is converting close to the league average, converting on 20.6% of their chances and scoring fourteen powerplay goals.
The penalty kill has given up thirteen powerplay goals and has an 82.7% penalty-killing efficiency.
As expected, Mathew Barzal leads the New York Islanders players stats with twenty-five points (two goals, twenty-three assists).
The Islanders have been consistent with their goaltending rotation. While Seymon Varlamov started and won against the Flyers on November 26th, we expect the Islanders to start Ilya Sorokin on Tuesday night.
Sorokin has been excellent this season, earning a 10-5-0 record and posting a 2.19 goals-against average with a .933 save percentage.
The Philadelphia Flyers enter Tuesday’s matchup with the Islanders with a 7-10-5 record. Notably, the Flyers have lost their last ten games.
Three of their last five matchups have ended with a +1.5 goal spread, while three games have hit the over of 6 and 6.5.
In their 5-2 loss to the Islanders, Lukas Sedlak and Joel Farabee scored for the Flyers, while the Flyers penalty killers gave up two powerplay goals: something we expect to repeat on Tuesday night in Philly.
As a team, the Philadelphia Flyers statistics tell the story of a team struggling to score. The Flyers are averaging 2.32 goals per game on 28.7 shots while averaging 3.09 goals against on 33.0 shots per game.
The Flyers’ special teams are struggling. Philly has one of the lowest-ranked powerplays in the league, scoring only ten powerplay goals and converting on 14.3% of their chances.
The Flyers’ penalty kill hasn’t been great so far in 2022-23 either: the penalty killers are operating at 76.5%, giving up sixteen powerplay goals against.
Flyers’ NHL Player Stats
When a team has lost ten games in a row, you don’t expect any of their players to top the NHL player stats rankings, and Philly isn’t scoring enough to have any players as surprises among the scoring leaders. Kevin Hayes leads the Flyers with twenty points (six goals, fourteen assists).
The Flyers have rotated goalies over their last four games, potentially trying to find some traction or a win from one of their goalies.
With Felix Sandstrom making eighteen saves in the loss on November 26th, we expect the Flyers to start number-one goalie Carter Hart, who has struggled along with the Flyers so far this season. Hart has a 6-5-4 record, a 2.85 goals-against average, and a .915 save percentage.
New York Islanders vs. Philadelphia Flyers Pick and Prediction
These two NHL teams are playing very different hockey, and should be heading in two different directions throughout the remainder of the season.
The Flyers still have room to build and grow, while the Islanders are now in their competitive window.
As for the NHL injury report, the Islanders have listed center Kyle Palmieri as out, while the Flyers have listed right-winger Cam Atkinson out, as well.
Our first Islanders vs Flyers game prediction is for the Islanders to score on the powerplay. The Flyers have one of the worst penalty-killing efficiencies in the NHL in 2022-23.
We expect the better overall Islanders to score again on the powerplay against the Flyers.
This leads us to our final Islanders vs Flyers game prediction: take the Islanders to cover the spread (-1.5).
Regardless of what metrics or game footage your review, the New York Islanders are the better team; they should win this game and clear a 1.5-goal spread against a Flyers team that struggles to score and can’t find a win right now.
Final Score Prediction: Islanders 4 – Philadelphia Flyers 2
NHL Pick: Islanders -1.5 (+145)