The Minnesota Wild and Edmonton Oilers meet for the final time this season, each having won one game. The Wild bounced back from their recent loss to the Oilers with a 3-0 victory over the Vancouver Canucks. For their part, the Oilers haven’t played since their 5-2 victory over the Wild on December 9th.
We’ll prepare you for game time with the important stats, trends, and our Oilers vs Wild Prediction. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET from the Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul, Minnesota. You can catch the game on NHLPP, ESPN+, or regional broadcast partners.
Last Game Records
This is the third and final head-to-head matchup between these NHL teams on the 2022-23 NHL schedule this season. This is the second game in four nights between the Oilers and the Wild.
So far in 2022-23, the Minnesota Wild and Edmonton Oilers have split their two head-to-head NHL games. The Wild won the first meeting 5-3 on December 1st, while the Oilers won the second game 5-2 on December 9th.
Matchup Information
Edmonton Oilers vs. Minnesota Wild Betting Analysis
Edmonton Oilers
Preseason Edmonton Oilers predictions made Edmonton one of the favorites to top the NHL standings. The Oilers enter Monday night’s matchup with a 16-12-0 record, ranked fourth in the Pacific Division.
The Oilers have won three of their last five games, including their last game, which was a 5-2 victory over the Wild. Edmonton is offensively potent, hitting the over in four of their last five games, while four of their last five have ended with at least a 1.5-goal spread. The over is 7-0 in Oilers games against Central division competition.
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are ranked 1-2 in NHL player stats and are your obvious prop bet targets for the Oilers. McDavid leads the league with fifty-four points (twenty-five goals, twenty-nine assists), while Draisaitl has forty-six points (nineteen goals, twenty-seven points.
McDavid and Draisaitl have powered the Oilers’ offense, which averages 3.64 goals per game on 32.0 shots. Edmonton’s major weaknesses are on defense and in the goaltender position, giving up 3.46 goals on 33.4 shots per game.
The Oilers have surpassed the injury-laden Colorado Avalanche for the number one powerplay in the NHL, converting on 30.7% of their chances (thirty-one powerplay goals). Again, keeping the puck out of their net is a problem for the Oilers and extends to their penalty kill. Edmonton’s penalty kill is killing 71.3% of the team’s penalties (thirty-one power play goals against).
Stuart Skinner has started the last four games for the Oilers and has been Edmonton’s best goalie this season. The Oilers are playing on back-to-back nights and three games in four nights.
We’re not sure if Skinner will start tonight in Minnesota or tomorrow night in Nashville.
Skinner and Jack Campbell have each faced Minnesota once this season, with Skinner scoring the Oilers’ victory over the Wild.
If Skinner starts, he has a 9-6-0 record, with a 2.81 goals-against average and a .919 save percentage. If Campbell gets the start, you might want to take the Wild and the over: Campbell has a 7-6-0 record, a 4.12 goals-against average, and a .872 save percentage.
Minnesota Wild
The Minnesota Wild standings speak to the current state of the Central Division: the Wild have a 14-11-2 record and are tied for third in the division with the Colorado Avalanche. The Wild have won three of their last five games, with four games hitting the over of 6.5 goals and three games ending in at least a 1.5-goal spread.
The over is 4-0 in Wild games when Minnesota is playing on one day’s rest and 8-1 overall in the nine games. The Wild have a 27-7 head-to-head advantage in games played in Minnesota.
The Wild average 3.07 goals per game on 32.0 shots while giving up 3.07 goals on 30.2 shots per game. The Wild’s powerplay is ranked tenth in the NHL, converting on 24.7% of their chances (twenty-two powerplay goals). The penalty killers will have their hands full against the Oilers and are ranked tenth in the NHL, killing 78.9% of the Wild’s penalties (nineteen powerplay goals against.
Minnesota’s offensive superstar Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild in scoring with thirty-four points (seventeen goals, seventeen assists).
Filip Gustavsson got the start and the win against the Vancouver Canucks on December 10th. We expect the Wild to start Marc-Andre Fleury against the Oilers. Fleury has played both games against the Oilers this season and has a 9-7-1 record, with a 3.16 goals-against average and a .892 save percentage overall.
Updates
The most notable name on the NHL injury report is Minnesota’s Jonas Brodin, who is listed as day-to-day. Brodin has been critical to the Wild’s success in keeping Connor McDavid to his second-lowest points per game average against a team in his career.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Minnesota Wild Betting Preview
Before we make our Oilers vs Wild prediction, we need to review the odds and both teams betting records.
NHL odds have the Minnesota Wild as the moneyline favorite, listed between -120 and -130. Despite winning the last NHL matchup, the Edmonton Oilers are the slight moneyline underdog, listed between +102 and +110. The Wild have a 14-13 straight-up moneyline record, while the Oilers have a 16-12 straight-up moneyline record.
The Oilers are listed at +1.5 on the puck line spread, with odds ranging from -225 and -250. The Wild are listed at -1.5 goals with odds from +184 to +200. Edmonton has a 14-14 record against the spread (ats), while Minnesota has an 11-16 ats record.
The total goals is listed at 6.5 goals. The over is listed from -120 to -136, while the under is listed with odds ranging between +100 and +114. The Oilers have a 17-9 over/under record, while the Wild have a 15-12 over/under record.
The favorite is 4-0 in the last four matchups between the Wild and Oilers, while the over is 5-2 in the last seven matchups.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Minnesota Wild Betting Prediction
After reviewing the stats, odds, and trends in our Oilers vs Wild Prediction, we need to make our NHL picks for Monday night.
Our first Oilers vs Wild prediction is that this game should hit the over. The Edmonton Oilers are playing in this game, so the over is always a potential play. However, after reviewing both teams betting trends and recent results, we have to take the over.
Our second pick is to parlay the Oilers to cover the spread and win on the moneyline for maximum value from an Edmonton Oilers win. The favorite may be 4-0 recently, but the circumstances and trends lead us to an Oilers win. Take the Oilers to cover the spread and win on the moneyline.
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