The Toronto Maple Leafs (17-8-6), second in the NHL standings for the Atlantic Division, host the Ottawa Senators (12-17-0), eighth in the Atlantic, in one of 14 NHL games on a busy NHL schedule Wednesday night. Toronto last beat Ottawa 4-3 on December 7 and has won three of the last four games against the Senators. They’re 9-5-2 at home and Ottawa is just 3-8-0 on the road.
Senators vs Maple Leafs Picks
- Pick: Ottawa ML +145
Martin Jones (2.79 GAA, .917 save percentage) is likely to start in goal for the Maple Leafs. Joonas Korpisalo (3.62 GAA, 891 save percentage) is the projected starting goaltender for the Senators. Let’s check out the Senators vs. Maple Leafs betting analysis.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
Senators vs Maple Leafs Information
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Location of the game: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
Date & Time: Wednesday, December 27 at 7 p.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN+ and Sportsnet (Canada)
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Recent Scores
The Ottawa Senators are 3-7 in their last 10 games, but come into the Senators vs. Maple Leafs betting analysis having won their most recent game and had a much-needed rest and chance to reset over the holidays. Ottawa has had to deal with quite a bit of controversy and challenges this season, including the recent firing of coach D.J. Smith. They’re coming off of a 5-4 overtime win against the Pittsburgh Penguins, which could give them some momentum as they head into the second half of the season.
The Maple Leafs, meanwhile, are 5-2-3 in their last 10 games and beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1 in their most recent game this past Saturday. Jones made 27 saves in the win and Auston Matthews scored a pair of goals to extend his league lead in the category to 28 goals in 30 games.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Analysis
Struggling Senators Hoping for Better Results After the Holidays
Ottawa is among the NHL picks to finish in the draft lottery after a poor start to the season, but they have plenty of talent and could turn things around if they get hot. Their underlying numbers aren’t bad either. The Senators are eighth among NHL teams in goals (3.41) and eighth in shots (32.5). They’re 16th in shots allowed (30.6), but 28th in goals allowed (3.55). Neither Korpisalo or Anton Forsberg have save percentages higher than .891.
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators in NHL player stats with 32 points (7 goals, 25 assists). Claude Giroux is second with 27 points (9 goals, 18 assists) and Drake Batherson is third with 26 points (11 goals, 15 assists). Captain Brady Tkachuk has 24 points, including three in the team’s 5-4 win over the Penguins on Saturday.
Matthews Leading Explosive Maple Leafs Offense
Matthews has been the hottest player in the NHL over the past month. He has a league-leading 28 goals in just 30 games and is on pace to score at least 60 goals for the second time in his career. He has a seven-game scoring streak during which time he has 12 goals. His shooting percentage is up to 21.4 percent.
Toronto has been among the better NHL teams as of late due in part to Matthews impressive play, but they’ve also received contributions from the likes of William Nylander and Mitch Marner. Nylander is the top scorer for both teams in the Senators vs. Maple Leafs betting analysis with 45 points (16 goals, 29 assists). He has 18 points in an 11-game point streak. Toronto is now third in goals (3.58).
Updates
Shane Pinto is still serving a suspension for the Senators and Mathieu Joseph and Thomas Chabot are on the NHL injury report. Toronto is without Ryan Reaves, Mark Giordano, and Joseph Woll.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
Toronto is the betting favorite in the Senators vs. Maple Leafs betting analysis with -170 moneyline odds and -1.5 (+135) puck line odds. The Ottawa Senators odds for the moneyline and puck line are +145 and +1.5 (-160), respectively. The over/under is 7.5.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Prediction
The Toronto Maple Leafs seems to play poorly against weaker teams, especially at home after extended breaks. Expect plenty of goals tonight in a close game that the Senators should ultimately win.
- Pick: Ottawa ML +145
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