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Home▷NHL Picks▷Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis and Prediction

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The Tampa Bay Lightning will travel to Toronto to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs for game five of the series. I believe this will yet again be another high-scoring game as there were 10 goals scored in game four. The Leafs’ defense is going to need to step up if they want to take the series lead.

The series is currently tied 2-2 heading back to Toronto for game five, the puck is set to drop at 7:30 pm Eastern Time at the Scotia Bank Arena in Toronto. Let’s check the Lighting at Maple Leafs Betting Analysis.

Last Game Records

Tampa Bay Lightning 

  • Last Game: 7-3 win against the Toronto Maple Leafs 
  • Overall Record: 51-23-8

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Last Game: 3-7 loss against the Tampa Bay Lighting
  • Overall Record: 54-21-7

Matchup Information

Lighting at Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Analysis

The Tampa Bay Lightning go into the playoffs as the third-ranked team in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning have been very inconsistent so far this postseason, they either win by four or lose by four it seems like. The team need to find some defense if they want to take the series lead in Toronto.

The Lightning came into the postseason as one of the best offenses in the NHL as they scored 285 goals in the regular season. The Lightning’s offense has found its groove after getting shut out in game one and has recorded 14 goals in the last three games.

The offense during the postseason has been led by Nikita Kucherov who has recorded 5 points in the playoffs so far. Kucherov is just one of Tampa’s offensive weapons; if they can get their power play in order, they should have no problem scoring goals in game five.  

Andrei Vasilevskiy is set to start between the pipes in game five as he stopped 22 out of 25 shots in game four. Vasilevskiy needs to bring his best if they want to find a win in Toronto. Vasilevskiy has allowed 16 goals this playoffs.   

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

The Toronto Maple Leafs finished the season in second place in the Atlantic Division this season. The Maple Leafs have also been very inconsistent this postseason and looked rough in game four. Below are the NHL betting stats for the Maple Leafs. 

The Maple Leafs enter the postseason also having one of the best offenses in the league as they have averaged 3.8 goals per game this season. Maple Leafs’ offense this postseason has scored an impressive 16 goals in four games.

The Maple Leafs’ offense this postseason has been led by forward Auston Matthews who has recorded six points so far. The Leafs are also full of offensive talent and their power play has been a key contributor to their success.

Jack Campbell is set to take the net in game five after a very rough game four in Tampa. Campbell was pulled in game four after recording a .688 save percentage. Toronto’s defense also needs to improve as they have allowed 14 goals this playoffs.

Updates

Tampa Bay Lightning 

  • Defenseman Victor Hedman has 6 points this playoffs
  • The Lightning’s power play went 1 for 8 in-game four
  • The Lightning have allowed 16 goals this playoffs

Toronto Maple Leafs 

  • Forward Auston Matthews leads the Leafs with 6 points this playoffs
  • Goalie Jack Campbell recorded a .668 save percentage in game four
  • The Maple Leafs have allowed 14 goals this playoffs

Lightning at Maple Leafs Betting Preview

Game 5 is a very crucial game for both teams in this series, below is the NHL betting stats.

The Lightning are the Moneyline underdog in Game 1 with +110 odds. The Maple Leafs are the slim favorites with -130 odds. The puck line has the Lightning as a +1.5 with -245 odds, while the Maple Leafs are -1.5 with +195 odds to cover.

The over/under for Game 1 is at 6.5 total goals. The over odds are -120 while the under odds are +100. Game 5 had 10 total goals, so no surprise the over is favored.

Lighting at Maple Leafs Betting Prediction

The Lightning dominated the Leafs in game 5 winning by a score of 7-3, but the Leafs this season at home are 31-8-2, so there’s no surprise they are the NHL betting picks favorites. Both teams have highly explosive offenses, but I believe the difference comes down to home-ice advantage.

The Leafs have been exceptional at home this season and their power play has been a key contributor to their success this postseason. The team need a big game out of Jack Campbell and their defense if they want to find the series lead at home.

Leafs MoneyLine is the NHL betting expert pick of the night.

How to bet on Lightning at Maple Leafs

If someone were to place $100 on the Lightning covering the 1.5 goal puck line, they would get a return of $40.82. The same bet on the Leafs would return $195.

A $100 bet on the Lightning to win on the Moneyline would give the winner $110. The same play on the Maple Leafs with -130 odds would return $76.92. 

A bet of $100 on the over 6.5 with -120 odds would return $83.33 in winnings, while the same bet on the under would return $100 in winnings.

If you love sports and want more sports betting information follow us as @InsidersBetDig on Twitter and sign up to our mailing list for free betting picks.

#NHL
#Tampa Bay Lightning
#Toronto Maple Leafs
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