The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election is rapidly turning in favor of Democrats
Less than two weeks after Vice President Kamala Harris took over as the presumptive Democratic candidate, her odds of becoming President are shortening. The 59-year-old has secured valuable endorsements and commitments from delegates and is a shoo-in to be named the nominee at the Democratic National Committee convention in Chicago next month.
But what once seemed like a long-shot chance for Harris to take the White House is now becoming more likely. Harris is a +140 underdog to Donald Trump’s -175 odds, and the current VP still has ample opportunity to make up ground with a popular VP pick after the convention.
That Harris remains such a long-odds candidate despite her momentum is worth seizing. Here are some more Presidential election countdown strategies 100 days out from the Nov. 5 election.
Presidential election countdown strategies
GOP nominee Donald Trump is losing ground quickly. The 45th President appeared poised to run away with the White House after his initial debate against Joe Biden in Atlanta last month, going from slight favorite to -400 odds in three weeks.
But those monitoring polls and odds have seen those flip on their heads. Trump’s implied probability is down to about 60%, nearly 20% down from its height, and Harris’ presumed chance is as high as 44% at some sportsbooks.
Those hoping to capitalize on Harris’ long election betting odds should strike while they still can. She continues to cut into Trump’s advantage and should continue to in August with the DNC convention. Harris may be the favorite by Labor Day.
US Politics Betting Trends
- Harris is the first female VP and is seeking to become the first woman President and first woman of color to win the Presidency
- Democrats have lost the popular vote in only one of the past eight Presidential elections.
- Republicans have won the election without winning the popular vote twice in the 2000s, including Trump’s win in 2016.
US Politics Post-Debate Betting Picks
Kamala Harris wins the Presidential Election. Trump and the GOP were riding so high after he was shot in Pennsylvania then accepted the Republican nomination for President a week later in Milwaukee. They were highly prepared for a rematch against Biden, who defeated Trump in 2020.
But Republicans seem to have no answer for Harris’ candidacy, outside of the coded racism of referring to her as a “DEI hire,” which stands for diversity, equity, and inclusion.
Plus, Trump’s hand-picked VP candidate J.D. Vance seems to be affecting his candidacy the wrong way by further denigrating women and picking a fight with seemingly apolitical Jennifer Aniston. Vance referred to childless women as “cat ladies,” which seems to perpetuate the Republicans’ war on women, which includes a near-nationwide abortion ban.
Between Vance’s faux-pas, Trump’s longstanding mistreatment of women, and Harris being just the second woman to serve as the candidate for president of a major party, it’s safe to assume that women will be coming out in droves to vote for Harris. This could be what swings politics betting in favor of the Dems.
It is absurd that Harris has that long of betting odds even though she is polling comparably to Trump. Betting on Harris at plus-money odds is a strong option for your Presidential election countdown strategies while you can still get her candidacy at that price point.
Keep reading our top Politics picks!
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