Dolphins vs Storm Analysis
Two of the most exciting rugby league teams battle on Friday morning when the Dolphins and Storm clash, the Storm are the -6.5 favorites to edge out the newest team in the NRL, but the Dolphins have the weapons to strike.
We have Dolphins vs Storm betting odds and picks for the big Round 16 game at Suncorp Stadium, and we’re giving the Storm the edge.
Dolphins vs Storm Information
Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm
Location of the game: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia
Date & Time: Friday, July 21, 6 a.m. ET
How to watch: NRL Live Streaming
Previous meeting: The Storm defeated the Dolphins 24-16 in a close contest.
Dolphins vs Storm Picks

- Pick: Melbourne Storm -6.5
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Dolphins vs Storm Betting Analysis
The Storm are higher up the NRL ladder, and because the Dolphins have some of their best players involved in State of Origin, that should give them the advantage. The Melbourne Storm also has its best players in State of Origin, but the Storm have more depth to their lineup.
The line moved from an opening quote of -3.5, so most of the money has come for the visitors, and we’re not surprised by that.
Getting -3.5 was a gift for Melbourne Storm backers, but it’s gone, so now bettors must decide whether to take the tricky -6.5 line. The Storm are capable winning by more than a converted try, as they have one of the best attacking backlines in the competition.
Recent form also goes to the Storm covering the spread, so the betting confidence looks spot on.
1Moneyline:
Dolphins +170
Storm -240
2Total:
48.5 points
3Spread:
Dolphins +6.5
Storm -6.5
Dolphins vs Storm Betting Preview & Updates
There has been no support for the Dolphins since markets opened with betting odds for rugby. They opened as +3.5 underdogs before a plethora of money came for the Storm to win and cover the spread, despite playing at home, bettors believe class will prevail with the Storm, who boast much more depth than the Dolphins.
That’s likely to play a key part in this game, hence the significant betting moves with the best rugby betting sites.
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Dolphins vs Storm Recent Scores
The Storm won the only meeting against the Dolphins, which came in 2023, They also have much better recent form, including consecutive wins over the Knights and Warriors.
The Dolphins have lost two of their last three games but won their most recent game 30-28 against the Sharks. It was one of the most exciting games of the NRL 2024 season but most of the playmakers from that game are sitting this one out.
Dolphins Analysis: The Potential to Nosedive Is There
- The Dolphins are on the ladder, and the potential to lose multiple games in a row is always there. They aren’t always the most consistent team since joining a couple of years ago.
- They have struggled to beat the best teams in the competition.
It is tough to include them with Dolphins vs Storm betting odds and picks because of that inconsistency, and bettors never know what they’re going to get.
Storm Analysis: Storm Set to Thunder Down
- The Storm always play their best rugby league at this stage of the year, and we’re seeing that.
- Despite having players missing for Origin, they continue to put wins on the board without some of their best players.
- The Craig Bellamy-coached team is the most professional in the competition, and that shows year after year.
- The money coming for the visitors speaks volumes, and their recent form is much better than the Dolphins, so the money looks well-placed.
Dolphins vs Storm Betting Prediction
We’re backing the Storm with our Dolphins vs Storm betting odds and picks. They are the much safer bet, and although getting a -3.5 line would have been nice, we’re still happy with the current -6.5 line.
Players coming off the bench for the Storm are much better than the reserves for the Dolphins, who need their best players to perform. With the depth of the Storm, we see them covering the spread and winning by double digits.
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