State of Origin Preview with Pick
The Queensland Maroons and New South Wales Blues square off for Game 3 of the State of Origin Series on Wednesday.
With it tied at 1-1 following an easy win for the Blues, pressure is on Queensland to bounce back in front of its home crowd as the underdog with State of Origin Maroons vs Blues odds.
Queensland is the -115 outsider and our pick to win the game. The Maroons are always tough to beat at Suncorp Stadium, and they have made some good chances, which could see them win another State of Origin series.
Rugby League betting odds are tight, with New South Wales the favorite at -120.
Queensland Maroons vs New South Wales Blues Information
Queensland Maroons vs New South Wales Blues
Location of the game: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Date & Time: Wednesday, July 17, 6:05 am ET
How to watch: NRL Live Streaming
State of Origin Game 3 Picks

- Pick: Queensland Maroons -115
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Maroons vs Blues Odds
We’re surprised by the rugby odds, which have the Blues favored to win at -120.
We expected Queensland to be the clear favorites to win with the game being played in Queensland. However, most of the betting support has come for New South Wales.
The same happened for Game 2, which was won by the Blues, so the betting support with State of Origin Maroons vs Blues odds could be telling.
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
BetUS Odds | – | Q Maroons: -115 NSW Blues: -120 |
– |
BetOnline Odds | Maroons: -1.5 -110 Blues: +1.5 -120 |
Q Maroons: -120 NSW Blues: -110 |
O 41.5 -120 U 41.5 -110 |
MyBookie Odds | Maroons: -0.5 -120 Blues: +0.5 -119 |
Q Maroons: -119 NSW Blues: +101 |
O 41.5 -128 U 41.5 -112 |
XBet Odds | Maroons: -0.5 -120 Blues: +0.5 -119 |
Q Maroons: -119 NSW Blues: +101 |
O 41.5 -128 U 41.5 -112 |
Money could come for Queensland on game day. Bettors could rally behind the pre-series favorites, who have made changes from a terrible Game 2 performance and are expected to bounce back.
Maroons vs Blues Betting Preview
Maroons Won’t Leave Bettors Deserted
The Maroons were thrashed in Game 2 in Melbourne, but we’re not letting that affect our Game 3 wager.
They are the better team, and they showed that when putting the Blues to the sword in the opening State of Origin contest.
Rugby League betting odds have them as outsiders, but since when have Queensland not been favored to win at Suncorp Stadium?
It’s a fortress for the Maroons, and they’re tough to bet against at the value odds. The value is too good to pass up, and with the changes they made, we think they’re harder to beat.
Key Injuries
Jaydn Su’A, Murray Taulagi, and Xavier Coates are all out injured.
Kalyn Ponga, Selwyn Cobbo, and Brendan Piakura make their way into the team to cover.
Betting Trends
The Maroons opened as favorites before the weight of money came for the Blues. We expect money to come for the Maroons on game day.
Blues Eyeing Overdue Series Win
Winning State of Origin series hasn’t been common practice for the Blues, but they have a chance to upset the rugby scores.
Before the series, they weren’t given any chance of winning. However, that all changed after Game 2, and now they’re favored to win.
Losing Latrell Mitchell hurts their chances, as he was inspirational two weeks ago, but they have momentum on their side.
We’re not overlooking their chances of winning in what should be a close game, but we don’t think the Blues should be favorites to win in enemy territory.
Key Injuries
Latrell Mitchell is the only notable player missing for the Blues.
He has been replaced by Bradman Best, and Joseph Sua’ali’i has also come into the team as cover.
Betting Trends
After opening as underdogs, money has once again come for the Blues, who are now the -120 favorites to win.
The same thing happened in Game 2, so it could pay to watch for late betting moves, as they could be telling.
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Maroons to Seal the Series Win
State of Origin Maroons vs Blues odds have the Maroons at an underdog price of -115, and that’s too juicy to pass up. We would have been prepared to take around -140 for the home side, who should prove too strong in the midfield.
Bringing Ponga back into the side is a great addition, and they also get the experience of Dane Gagai.
That could the recipe for success Queensland needs, and they also play better at Suncorp Stadium, so take Queensland to win. Good luck with all of your rugby predictions!
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