Overview
The Champions League Round of 16 gets underway this week, including a Wednesday showdown between Liverpool and Inter Milan. Both teams currently find themselves second in their respective domestic leagues. However, Liverpool is a little further away from the first place while Inter is involved in a tight three-way race at the top of Serie A, which could make it a little more difficult for the Italian side to put its full effort into the Champions League. Nevertheless, the winner of this Round of 16 matchup will feel like they have a chance to win the trophy.
Last Game Records
The last time Liverpool and Inter Milan crossed paths in the Champions League was in 2008 with Liverpool advancing on a 3-0 aggregate. More recently, Inter Milan is coming off a 1-1 draw with Napoli over the weekend. Liverpool, on the other hand, was able to eke out a 1-0 win over Burnley.
Matchup Information
- 3:00 pm EST on Wednesday, February 16, 2022
- Milano, Italy
- Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan vs Liverpool Betting Analysis
Inter Milan Betting Analysis
As the second-place term in Serie A, Inter Milan has had a strong season to this point. They have lost just once in their last 11 matches across all competitions dating back to a loss to Real Madrid to close out the Group Stage of the Champions League. In fact, they have just two losses during the Serie A season, in addition to two losses to Real Madrid during the Group Stage.
As usual, a stout defense has helped to lead the way for Inter. The Black and Blues have allowed the second-fewest goals in Serie A this season and conceded just five times in six matches during the Group Stage. However, Inter Milan has only managed two clean sheets in eight matches since January.
Of course, the Black and Blues also have the most potent attack in Italy, scoring 55 goals in 24 matches despite a modest eight goals during the Group Stage. Lautaro Martinez and Edin Dzeko have scored 11 and 10 goals, respectively, in Serie A action this season. Hakan Calhanoglu has also been an underrated part of Inter’s success, compiling six goals and a team-high eight assists in Serie A play.
Liverpool Betting Analysis
The Reds were arguably the most impressive team during the Group Stage of the Champions League. Liverpool was one of three teams to win all six matches while compiling a goal differential of +11 and eliminating Inter’s intra-city rival AC Milan from the competition. Domestically, Jurgen Klopp’s side has gone nine straight matches across all competitions without a loss.
In addition to the string of positive results for Liverpool, the Reds are excited to be at full strength with Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah back from international duty. The two have combined for 24 of Liverpool’s 61 Premier League goals this season. Of course, Diogo Jota might be the club’s most in-form striker right now, as he has 12 Premier League goals, including both Liverpool goals in a 2-0 win over Leicester City last week.
But with Virgil Van Dijk anchoring the backline for Liverpool, the Reds are also a solid defensive team. They have allowed the fourth-fewest goals in the Premier League this season, conceding just 19 times in 23 matches. Liverpool is also coming off back-to-back clean sheets in the Premier League and has allowed just two total goals in their last seven matches across all competitions.
Team Updates
With Mane and Salah back from international duty after the Africa Cup of Nations, Liverpool is close to full strength. Divock Origi has been out since December, but the Reds appear to be otherwise healthy. However, Inter Milan isn’t quite as healthy at the start of the Knockout Stage. Midfielder Robin Gosens and striker Joaquin Correa remain sidelined. Also, center-back Alessandro Bastoni has picked up an ankle injury over the past week.
- There have been two goals or less in four of Inter Milan’s Champions League matches this season.
- There have been at least three goals in four of Liverpool’s Champions League matches this season.
- Inter Milan has eight wins in its last 11 matches across all competitions.
- Liverpool is unbeaten in nine straight matches across all competitions, including six consecutive wins.
Inter Milan vs Liverpool Betting Preview
At first glance, this looks like a match between a potent Liverpool attack and a more defensive-oriented Inter Milan squad. However, the Reds have been outstanding defensively lately, conceding just two goals in their last seven games. At the same time, Inter Milan is far more potent offensively than most people realize, even if they’ve been a little stifled lately. That being said, Liverpool will be far more interested in an open game where both teams aren’t shy about attacking, even as the road team.
Inter Milan vs Liverpool Betting Prediction
The latest betting news on this match has Liverpool as a road favorite with a moneyline of +108. Meanwhile, Inter Milan has a moneyline of +230 with a draw listed at +250. While the Reds were far from their best last weekend, their recent form indicates that they will be difficult to beat despite heading to Italy for the game. Of course, Inter Milan will be prepared for the Liverpool attack and isn’t going to let themselves get scored against easily. Ultimately, the most valuable pick from a betting perspective is a draw, which is also the most likely outcome in this match.
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