Group Stage Rematch
Argentina and Canada met in the Copa America opener, which finished 2-0 in favor of Argentina. Now, the two sides are set to meet in the first 2024 Copa America Semifinal, on Tuesday.
Defending champions Argentina took down Ecuador in penalties in last Thursday’s Quarter-Finals. The next day, tournament debutants Canada also sent Venezuela home in penalties and are starting to dream big.
Following our Argentina vs Canada betting analysis, our parlay picks are Canada +1.5 and Both Teams to Score at +235 combined soccer odds.
Argentina vs Canada Picks
- Canada +1.5 (-130)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (+140)
- Total Parlay Odds: (+235)
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Copa America Semifinal Game Analysis
When these sides met two and a half weeks ago, both teams had plenty of chances. The first half finished scoreless but Julian Alvarez and Lautaro Martinez found the net in the second half to help Argentina get a 2-0 win. Since then, Argentina got two more shutout wins in the group stage.
In the Quarter-Finals, Argentina needed penalties to take down Ecuador, after a 1-1 draw. Goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez was once again Argentina’s hero in spot kicks. Most Copa America predictions had Argentina winning in 90 minutes but they looked relatively vulnerable.
Lionel Messi isn’t at 100 percent and it showed, as he created very little and missed his penalty kick. However, Martinez has been excellent during the tournament, with four goals.
Canada have done well to reach the Copa America Semifinal in their first-ever appearance in the tournament. However, they’ve been wasteful in front of goal and have only scored twice in four games.
Jacob Shaffelburg has been a revelation and scored Canada’s lone goal in the 1-1 draw against Venezuela. Canada GK Maxime Crepeau also came up big in penalties, with two saves.
While Argentina is a team full of match winners, Canada also have some game-changers, like Shaffelburg, Alphonso Davies, and Jonathan David. While Argentina are 7-1-0 in 90-minute games this year, Canada are 2-3-2.
Argentina vs Canada Game Information
Argentina vs Canada
Location of the game: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ, USA
Date & Time: Tuesday, July 9th, 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: FS1
Copa America Semifinal: Argentina vs Canada Odds
| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS Odds | Argentina: -1.5 +110 Canada: +1.5 -130 |
Argentina: -290 Canada: +835 Draw: +395 |
O 2.5 +105 U 2½ -125 |
| BetOnline Odds | Argentina: -1.25 -118 Canada: +1.25 -102 |
Argentina: -275 Canada: +920 Draw: +390 |
O 2.5 +102 U 2.5-122 |
| MyBookie Odds | Argentina: -1.5 +104 Canada: +1.5 -132 |
Argentina: -295 Canada: +860 Draw: +380 |
O 2.5 -101 U 2.5 -126 |
| Bookmaker Odds | Argentina: -1.25 -120 Canada: +1.25 +102 |
Argentina: -281 Canada: +850 Draw: +410 |
O 2.5 +103 U 2.5-120 |
Given Argentina’s track record and big game pedigree, it’s no surprise they’re -295 favorites for Tuesday’s match. Meanwhile, the Copa America betting lines list Canada as +920 underdogs and they’re 0-2 against Argentina all-time.
A draw is at +400 and the match would go directly into penalties if the score is level after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. One would think La Albiceleste would have an edge in spot kicks, as Emi Martinez is 4-0 in shootouts in major tournaments.
Argentina -1.5 sits at +110 odds, while Canada +1.5 is priced at -130. Canada have played four matches against South American teams at the 2024 Copa America, with only one loss.
The over/under goal total is set at 2.5 for this match. Our Argentina vs Canada betting analysis tells us the over, at even odds, isn’t a bad pick.
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Argentina vs Canada Betting Analysis & Final Overview
It has been a wild ride for Canada under coach Jesse Marsch and we expect them to keep this match close. The group stage match they lost to Argentina should help them to fix their defensive gaps. Plus, Canada caused problems for Argentina and we think they’ll be able to score in this one.
Argentina are the favorites to win Copa America, at -125 odds, and the defending champions know they can’t take Canada lightly. We do think they’ll be able to find the net once or twice in this match but they haven’t blown any of their opponents away.
Given these dynamics, our Copa America Semifinal betting analysis results in our +235 parlay pick with Both Teams to Score and Canada +1.5.
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