Overview
The final two spots in the Champions League quarterfinals will be decided on Wednesday. One of those spots will go to either Juventus or Villareal.
The two teams played to a 1-1 draw last month in the first leg, as Juventus couldn’t make a 1st-minute goal from Dusan Vlahovic standup, as Villareal equalized in the 66th minute.
That means it’s winner-take-all on Wednesday with Juventus hosting the Spanish side. The current Champions League odds favor Juventus to come out on top.
Last Game Records
As mentioned, Juventus and Villareal played to a 1-1 draw when they played on February 22. Since that match, Villareal has won two of its three matches in La Liga, including a 1-0 win over Celta Vigo this past weekend. Meanwhile, Juventus has been hot lately, winning four in a row since that draw in Spain.
Matchup Information
- 4:00 pm EST on Wednesday, March 16, 2022
- Torino, Italy
- Allianz Stadium
Juventus vs Villareal Betting Analysis
Juventus Betting Analysis
In the three weeks since the first leg against Villareal, Juventus has collected some much-needed points. They won three Serie A matches and also advanced in Copa Italia. Overall, Juventus is unbeaten in 12 consecutive matches, helping to put them fourth in Serie A with a seven-point cushion, as the Italian giants look to secure Champions League football for next season.
Not surprisingly, it’s been a strong defense that’s put Juventus in this position, as they rank third in Serie A in goals allowed. During the club’s 12-match unbeaten run, Juventus has kept five clean sheets. In fact, they’ve allowed just eight total goals during that stretch, with only one team managing more than one goal against them.
However, Juve has had to settle for four draws in its last 12 matches, largely because the attack can go cold at times. Alvaro Morata has finally come alive with two goals in his last three matches. However, Juventus still ranks 10th in Serie A in goals scored, as Morata and Paulo Dybala are the only players with more than four goals in Serie A matches this season.
Villareal Betting Analysis
Villareal finds themselves in a tough position right now, as they have a chance to reach the quarterfinals, but they are also fighting to get into next season’s Champions League. The Yellow Submarine is currently seventh in La Liga, six points behind the last Champions League spot. However, they have just one loss in their last eight matches, so things are trending upward.
Villareal’s attack has started to show some positive signs lately, ranking fifth in La Liga in goals scored and second in assists. While they have no dominant goal-scorer, the Yellow Submarine has five players who have tallied at least five goals in La Liga action this season. However, consistency can be a problem with Valencia getting shut out three times in its last nine matches.
Fortunately for Villareal, they have a stout defense that keeps them in games. They’ve allowed just 26 goals in 28 La Liga matches this season, although they have also conceded ten goals in seven Champions League matches.
But the Yellow Submarine has been air-tight lately, keeping four clean sheets in eight matches and conceding just one goal in each of the other four matches during that stretch.
Team Updates
Villareal left-back Alberto Moreno went down with an injury earlier this month. He will likely be unavailable on Wednesday after contributing three goals and two assists in La Liga action this season. For Juventus, American midfielder Weston McKennie is done for the season and is a significant loss for the Italian side.
Center-back Leonardo Bonucci is also likely to miss out because of an injury, which could impact how sports betting guides look at Juventus. However, Dybala has a chance to return to action this week despite missing two games with a hip problem.
- Juventus is unbeaten in 12 straight matches across all competitions.
- Villareal has five wins in its last eight matches across all competitions.
- Juventus has scored one goal or less in six of its last ten matches across all competitions.
- Villareal has kept a clean sheet in four of its last eight matches across all competitions.
Juventus vs Villareal Betting Preview
After scoring in the first minute of the first leg, Juventus was scoreless for the last 89 minutes against Villareal. This could be another match in which goals are at a premium, as Morata is still not a reliable goal-scorer at this level, and Villareal has been stout defensively lately.
However, the Spanish side could experience similar problems finding the back of the net, especially as the road team against a solid Juventus defense.
Juventus vs Villareal Betting Prediction
Despite some missing players, betting guides still view Juventus as the favorite in this match. Juventus has a moneyline at -105 compared to Villareal at +285 with a draw set at +240.
When making your Champions League betting picks, take into consideration that while Villareal has a chance to pull off the surprise and has decent value, this is still a game that Juventus should win at home, as they are more likely to score the decisive goal as the home team in what could be an ugly game with limited scoring chances.
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