Game Overview
The second leg of the Champions League Round of 16 gets underway on Tuesday, including a showdown between Liverpool and Inter Milan. Liverpool won the first leg in Milan 2-0. However, the Reds still have to hold serve at home in the second leg and avoid losing by two goals while potentially being distracted by their title chase in the Premier League.
Meanwhile, the Black and Blues are in a precarious position, as they will have to throw caution to the wind and hope to beat Liverpool on the road by multiple goals.
Last Game Records
As mentioned, Liverpool won the February 16 meeting between these teams 2-0 behind a 75th-minute goal from Roberto Firmino and an 83rd-minute goal from Mohamed Salah.
Since then, Liverpool has won the Carabao Cup trophy by knocking off Chelsea in a shootout while winning four other matches, including a competitive 1-0 home win over West Ham this past weekend.
Meanwhile, Inter Milan has just one win in four matches since losing the first leg to Liverpool, although the Black and Blues got on track this past weekend with a 5-0 win over last-place Salernitana.
Matchup Information
- 3:00 pm EST on Tuesday, March 8, 2022
- Liverpool, England
- Anfield
Liverpool vs Inter Milan Betting Analysis
Liverpool Betting Analysis
The Reds will enter Tuesday’s match unbeaten in 15 straight matches. They’ve won the Carabao Cup trophy and advanced to the quarterfinals of the FA Cup since their first leg against Inter Milan. However, a title race with Manchester City could leave them a little distracted ahead of a critical Champions League match.
Nevertheless, when Liverpool is at its best, the Reds have one of the most potent attacks in Europe. They have three players in Mohamed Sale, Diogo Jota, and Sadio Mane, who have all scored at least a dozen goals in the Premier League this season. Plus, despite scoring just once against West Ham over the weekend, Liverpool has scored at least two goals in 10 of its last 12 matches.
The Reds also have one of the best defensive records in the Premier League, conceding just 20 goals in 27 matches. Virgil van Dijk helps to anchor the backline with the reliable Allison in goal. As a result, Liverpool has conceded just once in its last four matches.
Inter Milan Betting Analysis
Much like Liverpool, Inter Milan could find itself potentially distracted by a domestic title race, as the Black and Blues find themselves two points behind rival AC Milan at the top of Serie A.
As mentioned, Inter is coming off a 5-0 win over the weekend, although that win came against the last-place team and snapped a five-match winless streak that includes their loss to Liverpool in the first leg.
Despite that recent winless streak, the Inter Milan defense remains one of the best in Europe. The Black and Blues have allowed just 22 goals in 27 Serie A matches, which ranks second in the league. They have also kept three consecutive clean sheets, including a shutout of AC Milan in Copa Italia.
But while Inter’s defense remains strong, the goals started to dry up before the 5-0 win over last-place Salernitana over the weekend. Going back to the first loss to Liverpool, the Black and Blues endured a scoreless stretch of four straight matches. Ironically, Inter Milan still leads Serie A in goals scored, so they could get back on track at any time.
Team Updates
While there is some question about the fitness of midfielder Ivan Perisic, Inter Milan appears mostly healthy heading into this match. Meanwhile, Liverpool could be without center-back Joel Matip on Tuesday.
- Liverpool is unbeaten in 15 straight matches across all competitions.
- Inter Milan has two wins in its last eight matches across all competition.
- Liverpool has scored multiple goals in 10 of its last 12 matches across all competitions.
- At least one team has failed to score in Inter Milan’s last five matches across all competitions.
Liverpool vs Inter Milan Betting Preview
Much like the first leg, this match will be about Liverpool’s potent attack going up against a stout Inter Milan defense. However, the equation changes a little because Inter needs to win by at least two goals to stay alive in the competition.
The Black and Blues have a strong attack in their own right, but it’s been sluggish recently and going against one of the top defensive sides in the Premier League.
Liverpool vs Inter Milan Betting Prediction
Looking at the Champions League betting odds, all of the sport betting guides list Liverpool as a home favorite in this match with a moneyline around -180. The betting odds for Inter Milan are around +420, with the draw at +330.
While winning at Anfield has been tough, especially lately, there is value in picking Inter Milan to win this match because Liverpool has a two-goal cushion from the first leg.
This wouldn’t be the first time that a team loses the second leg but still manages to advance. Keep in mind that the Reds have no reason to push too hard for a goal. Of course, Liverpool doesn’t want to lose at home under any circumstances, which could make a draw one of the best Champions League picks for this match.
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