Toluca vs. Puebla Odds, Picks, and Predictions

  • Toluca doesn’t have a clean sheet in their last six games against Puebla.
  • Puebla has zero wins in their four games, while Toluca has no losses in the last three.
  • Toluca has scored first in seven of their last nine games.

Liga MX Week 7

The Liga MX Apertura season is getting into its seventh week, and the actions are not slowing down. The teams want to ensure they make it to the playoffs for a chance to win the trophy.

It would continue on that trajectory as we get closer to the final week of the games. Undoubtedly, the top 12 spots are still open to the teams.

Any slip-ups from the top teams could make them miss out on the playoffs, but there is a slim chance once they can have enough wins for most of the season. Therefore, games in the competition’s early stages are essential to pushing for a spot in the top 12. 

Liga MX Top Teams

Among the top teams that want to continue their push to make it to the knockout rounds are Toluca and Puebla, and they will be battling for three points this week.

Both teams would lock horns to try to outscore each other. The goal will be to get all three points after 90 minutes.

As we prepare for this matchup, we would love to look at both teams and how they plan to take on their opponent.

Let’s also look at the odds, game information, and our expert picks for this matchup between Toluca and Puebla. 

Toluca vs. Puebla Odds


Liga MX Standings

Toluca and Puebla are close on the current standings. Still, Toluca is leading with four points because they are having a better season compared to Puebla.

And since they are the team with the home advantage, they have the favorite Liga MX odds to win. We would expect them to have more possession throughout the match.

Toluca’s Odds for the Game

Toluca’s odds for the game are +125, and their expected chance of winning the match because of their odds is 44%.

However, based on their previous performances and records, the team has only been able to win 30% of the matches whenever they are given these odds. So, they’ve been poor in their overall record. 

Puebla’s Odds for the Game

On the other hand, Puebla has an odd of +230 as they are the underdogs for this matchup. And with this odd, their expected chance of winning is 30%.

However, they’ve won 45% of their matches whenever they have these odds. They’ve outperformed expectations in their overall Liga Mx stats. 

Draw’s Possibility

With how close the teams are performing this season, a draw is a possibility. They both tend to stop each other’s attacks.

So, you can also consider placing a bet on a draw if you think they would end the game without anything to separate them. 

Toluca vs. Puebla Information

  • Competition: Liga MX Apertura 2022: Toluca vs. Puebla
  • Location of the game: Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca
  • Time: Aug 2nd, 2022, 06:00 PM EDT
  • How to watch: Online streaming services 

Toluca Analysis

So far, Toluca is one of the best-performing teams in the league this season. They’re currently third on the log with 13 points.

The team has won four, drawn one, and only lost one from the six games played this season. They are two points from the first position, making this game critical.

They got six points in their first three games, and in their last three, they got seven points. We can see that the team is improving, and as they enter any week to battle, it can only get better.

Toluca Performance Recap

The only problem is that they are yet to keep a clean sheet, although the highest they’ve conceded in a single match is one, which was in only one game. 

On the bright side, they’ve scored several goals already. In the first two games alone, they got six goals. But from their last four matches, they’ve only got four goals.

Ambriz’s Struggle

Therefore, Ignacio Ambriz needs to find a way to ensure they don’t stop scoring goals because that can kill the team’s dreams.

We don’t expect much change from the team. However, the closing minute of the last game didn’t go well as they ended the game ten men after Sebastian Saucedo, who came on for Diego Alvarez, was red-carded in the 98-minute. Fortunately, Saucedo is not one of the starters. Therefore, it shouldn’t change much in the setup.

Puebla Analysis

After six games this season, the team has gathered nine points after winning two games and drawing three with one loss.

They’re currently in the top five positions, meaning they have a chance to make it to the playoffs. But, if they go on a terrible run of form, they can fall as low as 13th, which is out of the playoffs.

Puebla’s Expectations

So, the team must find a way to keep a good run of form to seal one of the top 12 spots before the end of the regular season.

They need to return to the form of the first two games, where it seemed like they would be bossing the league this season after scoring five altogether. But since the third match, they haven’t won a single game.

The worst part is that the team hasn’t scored a goal in the last two games. They’ve continued to experience a downward trend in their performance and stats.

Therefore, they might keep dropping in the standings if care is not taken. Nicolas Larcamon needs to find a way to motivate the players.

Necessity to Improve

There are still several games to go, but they need to improve their performance soon. Unless they would struggle to make it to the playoff rounds.

Therefore, we expect a much-motivated team traveling to Toluca for their week seven game. Watching it would be incredible, and we expect them to be compact at the back. 

Toluca vs. Puebla Pick and Prediction

Toluca and Puebla would love to take all three points from this match. However, Toluca can still drop a few points and be safe in the top 12 zones. But, Puebla would be playing with fire if they miss another chance to add to their points tally. 

Therefore, the away side would have more motivation to win. We expect them to go all-out for the win, but Toluca has the better personnel based on the current stats.

So, our Liga MX predictions for this game are Toluca to win or at least get a draw and the game to end in 2-1 or 1-1. 

Soccer Pick: Toluca (+125)

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