France vs Poland Preview & Pick
On Friday, Poland became the first team to be eliminated from Euro 2024 knockout stage contention. Poland lost 3-1 to Austria and they fell 2-1 in their opening match to the Netherlands. Now, Poland take on France in what could be Robert Lewandowski’s last match at a major tournament.
France are unbeaten so far, with a 1-0 win over Austria and 0-0 draw against the Netherlands without Kylian Mbappe. Mbappe could return from a broken nose in time for Tuesday’s match and it’d be a major boost for Les Bleus. Ahead of the match let’s take a look at the France vs Poland best bets.
France vs Poland Information
France vs Poland
Location: Merkur Spiel Arena/Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf, Germany
Date & Time: Tuesday, June 25th, 12:00 p.m. ET
Where to watch: FOX Sports, FS1, Fox Sports App
Previous Meetings: France defeated Poland 3-1 in the 2022 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. Poland are winless in the last eight meetings.
France vs Poland Pick
- Pick: France -1.5 (-114)
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Odds Breakdown
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
BetUS | France -1.5: -114 Poland +1.5 -106 |
France: -360 Poland: +960 Draw: +475 |
O 3: Even U 3: -120 |
BetNow | France -1.5: -115 Poland +1.5: -105 |
France: -346 Poland: +949 Draw: +472 |
O 3: Even U 3: -120 |
MyBookie | France -1.5: -120 Poland +1.5: -106 |
France: -350 Poland: +870 Draw: +450 |
O 2.5: -157 U 2.5: +123 |
Bookmaker | France -1.5: -123 Poland +1.5: +103 |
France: -342 Poland: +925 Draw: +490 |
O 3: -104 U 3: -112 |
France vs Poland Betting Lines
BetUS betting line: France -1.5 (-114)
France are level on points with the Netherlands for the Group D lead at the moment. Because France and the Netherlands drew when they played each other, goal difference could be the difference between who finishes in first and second place.
We expect France to come out firing on Tuesday and grab a big win. So, given -114 2024 Euro odds, France -1.5 looks like an excellent pick.
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BetNow Betting line: France 1st Half Moneyline (-135)
We fully expect France to head into halftime with a lead in this match and their first half moneyline is one of the France vs Poland best bets.
France been defensively solid as of late, as the defensive partnership of William Saliba and Dayot Upamecano is coming into its own. Mike Maignan has also made some key saves as of late.
At the other end of the pitch, France will undoubtedly create chances. Antoine Griezmann and Adrien Rabiot have squandered a fair few of them but expect a sharper and more clinical French team come Tuesday.
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MyBookie Betting line: Over 2.5 Goals (-157)
Both teams have scored in each of Poland’s last four matches. Each of those matches have finished with three or more goals. France may even be able to put three goals on Poland, especially if Mbappe is able to play.
The last time France took on Poland, Mbappe scored twice and provided an assist. Poland’s defense will likely have no answer for the incoming Real Madrid superstar.
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Bookmaker Betting line: France (-342)
While not a pick that’ll generate huge returns, it’s straightforward and relatively bankable. France almost certainly need a win to finish on top of Group D and one of our Euro 2024 predictions is that they should be able to get it done.
With or without Mbappe, France will cause plenty of problems for Poland.
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France vs Poland Recent Trends
France’s Last Five Results
- 0-0 Draw vs Netherlands (Euro 2024)
- 1-0 Win vs Austria (Euro 2024)
- 0-0 Draw vs Canada (Friendly)
- 3-0 Win vs Luxembourg (Friendly)
- 3-2 Win vs Chile (Friendly)
Poland’s Last Five Results
- 3-1 Loss vs Austria (Euro 2024)
- 2-1 Loss vs Netherlands (Euro 2024)
- 2-1 Win vs Turkey (Friendly)
- 3-1 Win vs Ukaine (Friendly)
- 0-0 Draw at Wales, 5-4 Win in Penalties (Euro 2024 Play-off)
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France vs Poland Best Bet: France -1.5 (-114)
Despite France scoring just one goal in their first two matches, it hasn’t been from a lack of chances. They may be in line for even more against a Poland side that has already been mathematically eliminated.
France coach Didier Deschamps said he’ll pick a team which will “ensure qualification” and we believe that means Mbappe will be in the side.
Mbappe created France’s goal in their opening match and had three goal contributions the last time these teams met. If and when he suits up he’ll be key for Les Bleus. One of the France vs Poland best bets is France -1.5 (-114).
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