Spain vs Germany Score Prediction
Euro 2024’s most potent attacks will be on full display on Friday as Spain face hosts Germany in the Quarter-Finals. Spain decimated Georgia 4-1 in the Round of 16 after falling behind early.
Meanwhile, Germany grabbed a 2-1 win over Denmark as Jamal Musiala scored his third goal of the tournament. Arguably, the tournament’s two best teams are meeting in the Quarters.
Whoever wins this match will undoubtedly feel they can go on and win the title. Following our Spain vs Germany betting analysis, we believe this will be a tight match. Our Spain vs Germany score prediction is 1-1 in normal time and a Spain victory in extra time.
Spain vs Germany Information
Spain vs Germany
Location: Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart, Germany
Date & Time: Friday, July 5, 2024 12:00 p.m.
Where to watch: Fox
Spain vs Germany Pick
- Pick: Both teams to score -140.
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Spain vs Germany Recent Scores
Spain Last Five Matches
- June 30th, 2024: 4-1 win vs Georgia (Euro 2024 R16)
- June 24th, 2024: 1-0 win vs Albania (Euro 2024 Group B)
- June 20th, 2024: 1-0 win vs Georgia (Euro 2024 Group B)
- June 15th, 2024: 3-0 win vs Croatia (Euro 2024 Group B)
- June 8th, 2024: 5-1 win vs Northern Ireland (Friendly)
Germany Last Five Matches:
- June 29th, 2024: 2-0 win vs Denmark (Euro 2024 R16)
- June 23rd, 2024: 1-1 win vs Switzerland (Euro 2024 Group A)
- June 19th, 2024: 2-0 win vs Hungary (Euro 2024 Group A)
- June 14th, 2024: 5-1 win vs Scotland (Euro 2024 Group A)
- June 7th, 2024: 2-1 win vs Greece (Friendly)
Head-to-Head Record
Spain vs Germany Last Five Games
- November 27th, 2022: Spain 1-1 Germany (FIFA World Cup)
- November 17th, 2020: Spain 6-0 Germany (UEFA Nations League)
- September 3rd, 2020: Germany 1-1 Spain (UEFA Nations League)
- March 23rd, 2018: Germany 1-1 Spain (Friendly)
- November 18th, 2014: Spain 0-1 Germany (Friendly)
Our Spain vs Germany betting analysis shows these teams have met five times in the last decade. In those matches, both teams have a 1-3-1 record. These teams last met in the 2022 FIFA World Cup group stage and the match finished 1-1.
Alvaro Morata put Spain ahead but Niclas Fullkrug grabbed an 83rd-minute equalizer for Germany. Three of the last five meetings have finished 1-1 in normal time.
Spain did destroy Germany 6-0 in 2020 but both national teams have undergone recent changes. This will be the first time Spain coach Luis de la Fuente faces Germany and vice versa for Germany coach Julian Nagelsmann.
Spain vs Germany Betting Preview
Spain Preview
The Spaniards are the only ones with a perfect record at the Euros so far. They’ve also conceded only one goal through four matches and plenty of Euro 2024 predictions have them winning it all.
Previously known for short passes and prioritizing possession above all else, this iteration of Spain is much more direct. Wingers Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal have ushered in this transition and they’ve been two of the tournament’s best players so far.
Manchester City midfielder Rodri scored a long-range strike in the 4-1 win over Georgia in the round of 16 and is one of the best in the world in his position. Spain are battle battle-tested, with wins over Croatia and Italy so far and they enter this match on a six-game winning streak.
Germany Preview
Germany have scored the most goals at Euro 2024 through four matches. They’ve found the net 10 times in four games, as Musiala is joint-leader for the Golden Boot, with three goals.
Musiala and Kai Havertz scored in the 2-0 round of 16 victory over Denmark. In the group stage, Germany took down Scotland 5-1, grabbed a 2-0 win over Hungary, and drew 1-1 to Switzerland.
Germany have found their groove under Nagelsmann this year, with an unbeaten 6-2-0 record. They create plenty of chances and if Leroy Sane starts on the wing, they’ve got pace as well.
Center back Antonio Rudiger put in a Man of the Match performance last time out and he spearheads a defense that has only conceded twice in four games.
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Spain vs Germany Odds Breakdown
| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS Odds | Spain: pk -115 Germany: pk -105 |
Spain: +165 Germany: +180 Draw: +215 |
O 2.5 +105 U 2.5 -125 |
| BetOnline Odds | Spain: pk -115 Germany: pk -105 |
Spain: +172 Germany: +183 Draw: +218 |
O 2.5 +102 U 2.5 -122 |
| MyBookie Odds | Spain: -0.5 +155 Germany: +0.5 -202 |
Spain: +162 Germany: +175 Draw: +218 |
O 2.5 +101 U 2.5 -129 |
| Bookmaker Odds | Spain: pk -114 Germany: pk -103 |
Spain: +170 Germany: +183 Draw: +215 |
O 2.5 +105 U 2.5 -123 |
The UEFA Euro odds price Spain as slight +175 favorites and Germany at +183. A draw comes in at +210 and it’d mean extra time.
Bettors can find Spain pk at -117 and Germany pk at -103. Under 2.5 goals show -125 odds but these are the two highest-scoring teams at the tournament so far.
Both teams to score is currently priced at -140 odds.
Spain vs Germany Final Score Prediction
Three of the last five meetings between these teams have finished 1-1 and we wouldn’t be surprised to see a repeat. Our Spain vs Germany betting analysis leads us to recommend taking both teams to score at -140 odds as well.
While both defenses are solid, these are teams that can score in a multitude of ways. We don’t think either will compromise their playstyle and sit back, so we think 1-1 is a good middle ground, and we think Spain have an edge in extra time and will go on and win.
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