Switzerland vs Italy Game Analysis
In an intriguing Euro 2024 round of 16 matchup, Switzerland take on defending champions Italy. Switzerland (1-2-0) drew against Germany and Scotland in the group stage and defeated Hungary in Group A to finish second.
Meanwhile, Italy (1-1-1) qualified for the round of 16 by the skin of their teeth. It took a 98th-minute Mattia Zaccagni equalizer versus Croatia for Italy to finish second in Group B. Before the 1-1 draw, Italy lost 1-0 to Spain and beat Albania 2-1.
Heading into this match, bettors should be aware that Italy have reached the Quarter-Finals at the last four European championships. Although inexperienced, we think Italy will advance to the next round. So, our Switzerland vs. Italy parlay pick is Italy to advance, under 2.5 goals and a halftime draw at +315 combined odds.
Switzerland vs. Italy Picks

- Italy to Advance (-145)
- Under 2.5 goals (-198)
- Halftime Result: Draw (-120)
Total Parlay Odds: (+315)
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Switzerland vs. Italy Game Analysis
Italy haven’t lost to Switzerland since 1993 and they’ll look to extend their unbeaten run vs. the Swiss to 12 games here. Incredibly, Italy have also never lost two matches at a single edition of the Euros. Even in a group stage match where Spain were better than Italy in all areas, the Azzurri only lost 1-0.
Mattia Zaccagni was Italy’s hero on Monday but it is unclear where the Italians will get their scoring from. They’ve found the net just three times in three games and none of their strikers have scored yet.
Also, Riccardo Calafiori, who was playing well at center back, is suspended for this match. As a result, coach Luciano Spalletti will be forced into some changes.
Switzerland enter this match with just one loss in their last 17 games. They nearly beat Germany in the group stage and have proven they can hang with anyone.
Both teams scored in each of Switzerland’s three matches in the group stage and Switzerland enter this match on a six-match scoring streak. Defender Silvan Widmer is suspended for Switzerland, which figures to hurt them here.
Notably, Switzerland have only advanced in one of their last seven appearances in a major tournament knockout stage.
For that reason and Italy’s timeless ability to get results in European championships among others, one of our Euro Cup betting tips is to back the Italians to advance.
Switzerland vs. Italy Game Information
Switzerland vs. Italy
Location: Olympiastadion, Berlin, Germany
Date & Time: Saturday, June 29th, 12:00 p.m. ET
How to watch: FS1, TUDN
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Switzerland vs Italy Odds
Team | Handicaps | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Switzerland | pk +125 | +225 | O 2 -112 |
Italy | pk -145 | +150 | U 2 -108 |
Draw | +190 |
The soccer odds certainly imply this could be a close match. This round of 16 match is a pick’em, with Switzerland pk at +125 Euro 2024 odds and Italy pk at -145.
Italy are +150 moneyline favorites to win in normal time. On their Euro 2020 title run, three of their four knockout stage matches went to extra time. Plus, both of Switzerland’s knockout matches went to extra time at the same tournament.
Switzerland, who haven’t beaten Italy for over 30 years are +225 underdogs and a draw comes in at +190. The over/under total is set at two for this match.
Switzerland vs Italy Betting Analysis & Final Overview
Even when Italy trailed Croatia deep into their final knockout stage match, there was a sense that the Azzurri would manage to find an equalizer and advance.
The Italians have an aura at the European Championship similar to Real Madrid’s in the Champions League. While immeasurable, it’s hard to argue it doesn’t strike fear into their opponents and make them timid in big moments.
That’s one of the reasons why backing Italy to advance is one of the legs of our Switzerland vs Italy parlay pick. Each of Italy’s last two matches have also been scoreless at halftime. With Gianluigi Donnarumma in net, it’s hard to grab big leads against the Azzurri.
Italy have issues scoring goals on the other end and we believe this will be a low-scoring match like the over/under goal total implies. Again, our Switzerland vs. Italy parlay pick is Italy to advance, Under 2.5 goals and a halftime draw.
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