Spain vs France Preview and Score Prediction
While Spain have been the best team at Euro 2024 to this point, France have defended their way into the Semifinals. On Tuesday, France will look to score their first goal from open play at the tournament that isn’t an own goal.
While Kylian Mbappe and all of France’s stars will be available, three Spanish players will miss this match, including two defenders. Still, Spain are the favorites and we’d back them over a French team struggling to score. Our Spain vs France Euro 2024 Semifinal betting analysis leads us to pick Spain to defeat France 1-0 at +600 odds.
Spain vs France Information
Spain vs France
Location: Munich Football Arena, Munich, Germany
Date & Time: Tuesday, June 9, 2024 3:00 p.m.
Where to watch: FS1
Spain vs France Pick

- Pick: Spain wins by 1-0 (+600)
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Spain vs France Recent Scores
Spain Last Five Matches
- July 5th, 2024: 2-1 win (a.e.t.) vs Germany (Euro 2024 QF)
- June 30th, 2024: 4-1 win vs Georgia (Euro 2024 R16)
- June 24th, 2024: 1-0 win vs Albania (Euro 2024 Group B)
- June 20th, 2024: 1-0 win vs Georgia (Euro 2024 Group B)
- June 15th, 2024: 3-0 win vs Croatia (Euro 2024 Group B)
France Last Five Matches
- July 5th, 2024: 0-0 draw (a.e.t.), 5-3 PK win vs Portugal (Euro 2024 QF)
- July 1st, 2024: 1-0 win vs Belgium (Euro 2024 R16)
- June 25th, 2024: 1-1 draw vs Poland (Euro 2024 Group D)
- June 21st, 2024: 0-0 draw vs Netherlands (Euro 2024 Group D)
- June 17th, 2024: 1-0 win vs Austria (Euro 2024 Group D)
Head-to-Head Record
Spain vs France Last Five Games
- October 10th, 2021: Spain 1-2 France (UEFA Nations League Final)
- March 28th, 2017: France 0-2 Spain (Friendly)
- September 4th, 2014: France 1-0 Spain (Friendly)
- March 26th, 2013: France 0-1 Spain (World Cup Qualifier)
- October 16th, 2012 Spain 1-1 France (World Cup Qualifier)
Both teams have won two of the last five meetings, while one match has finished in a draw. Spain and France last faced off in the 2021 UEFA Nations League Final, which France won 2-1 as Karim Benzema and Kylian Mbappe scored for Les Bleus.
Our Spain vs France Euro 2024 Semifinal betting analysis notes that seven of the last eight meetings have finished with two goals or fewer. One of our Euro 2024 predictions is that the trend will continue. The Spanish side lead the all-time series 16-13, with seven draws.
Spain vs France Betting Preview
Spain Preview

So far, Spain have played five matches and picked up five wins at Euro 2024. Last Friday, they managed to knock out hosts Germany 2-1 in extra time, as Dani Olmo scored and assisted Mikel Merino’s headed winner.
Olmo replaced the injured Pedri, who is out for the rest of the Euros. Meanwhile, center back Robin Le Normand and right back Dani Carvajal are suspended for this match.
Their replacements, Nacho and Jesus Navas have plenty of big-game experience. Fabian Ruiz has gone seriously under the radar and the midfielder has been excellent, along with Rodri, Lamine Yamal, and Nico Williams.
Spain have outscored their opponents 11-2 so far at the Euros. They have the best Euro Cup odds to win the title at the moment, at +200.
France Preview

While Spain have scored 11 goals, France have managed just three in five games. They’ve created plenty of chances but their finishing has been abysmal. Mbappe is the only French player to find the net so far, on a penalty, while both of their other goals were opponents’ own goals. Mbappe’s also been visibly uncomfortable with the mask he’s wearing for his broken nose and it has made him more timid.
France advanced to the Semifinals by defeating Belgium 1-0 in the round of 16 and defeating Portugal in penalties, 5-3, after a scoreless draw. Three of their five matches have ended in 90-minute draws thus far and Les Bleus have defended superbly.
Goalkeeper Mike Maignan and defenders William Saliba and Theo Hernandez have been standouts in a defense that has conceded only one goal. N’Golo Kante has been the midfield engine for France and one of the best players of the tournament so far.
Spain vs France Odds Breakdown
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
BetUS Odds | Spain: pk -130 France: pk +110 |
Spain: +170 France: +205 Draw: +185 |
O 2 -110 U 2 -110 |
BetOnline Odds | Spain: pk -128 France: pk +108 |
Spain: +177 France: +210 Draw: +185 |
O 2 -110 U 2 -110 |
Bovada Odds | Spain: pk -125 France: pk +105 |
Spain: +165 France: +205 Draw: +190 |
O 2 Ev U 2 -120 |
Bookmaker Odds | Spain: pk -125 France: pk +106 |
Spain: +169 France: +205 Draw: +190 |
O 2 -105 U 2 -111 |
This seems to be a tricky match to predict, as all outcomes are somewhat likely. Spain are +170 moneyline favorites at the moment, while France come in at +205 odds. A draw is at +185 and it would mean a second straight extra time game for both teams.
Our Spain vs France Euro 2024 Semifinal betting analysis gives Spain the edge but we wouldn’t be shocked to see this one go the distance to penalties either. In this pick’em, Spain pk displays -130 odds and France pk is at +110.
While none of France’s games have finished with over two goals so far, over two goals are priced at -115. A “No” on both teams to score is priced at -140 with how well both teams have defended thus far.
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Spain vs. France Final Score Prediction
Spain have already managed two 1-0 wins at Euro 2024 so far, against Albania and Croatia. They’re on an eight-game scoring streak but coming up against a world-class defensive team. France’s struggles to score show no signs of abating and we do think Spain can shut them out despite the two defensive suspensions.
With the likes of Williams and Yamal, Spain can attack France’s fullbacks and create a goal. This one should be tight, but we like 1-0 Spain at +600.
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