Tennis

Davis Cup Finals Betting Picks and Prediction

The Davis Cup Finals betting begins on Tuesday, November 22, in Malaga, Spain, with the eight remaining countries battling for the right to finish atop of the Davis Cup standings and win the title.

The Russian Tennis Federation, which won last year’s event, is banned from this year’s tournament. The final eight teams include: Croatia, Spain, Australia, the Netherlands, Canada, Germany, Italy, and the United States.

Tuesday’s quarterfinal features the host Spain against Croatia, while the Netherlands and Australia meet on Wednesday. Let’s take a look at tennis betting for the two quarterfinal matches on Thursday: Canada vs. Germany and Italy vs. the US.

Canada vs. Germany Game Info and Analysis

Matchup Info

  • Venue: Palacio de Deportes Martin Carpena
  • Start Time: 10 a.m. EST
  • Where to Watch: Sportsnet (Canada) and Servus TV (Germany)

Canada

The Canadian squad is headlined by Felix Auger-Aliassime and Denis Shapovalov. It also features veteran Vasek Pospisil. Canada advanced to the finals after finishing as runners-up in Group B in qualification. It’ll be looking to win the Davis Cup for the first time in its history. Canada reached the finals in 2019.

Key Injuries

Canada has a full bill of health heading into the Davis Cup finals.

Betting Trends to Know

Auger-Aliassime is among the hottest players on the ATP Tour. He won three of his last four tournaments before the ATP Finals and has cemented himself as one of the top 10 players in the world. Matches have yet to be determined, but he will be a popular tennis pick to win his match and help lead Canada into the semifinals.

Canada is one of the tennis betting favorites to win the Davis Cup, with +300 outright odds at one sportsbook.

Germany

Germany has three Davis Cup finals betting titles, with its most recent in 1993. It has never played Canada in the Davis Cup. Germany won its qualification round.

Key Injuries

Germany is without its top star in Alex Zverev. The 25-year-old native of Hamburg hasn’t played much this year. He’s recovering from injury and recently tested positive for COVID-19. Germany’s squad is headlined by Oscar Otte and Jan-Lennard Struff.

Betting Trends to Know

Struff has mostly been playing Challenger events this year and is just 7-13 on the ATP Tour. Otte is 19-25 this season and is ranked No. 65 in the world.

Canada vs. Germany Odds

Canada is the massive -550 favorite to win Thursday’s quarterfinal, while Germany is paying out +350.

Canada vs. Germany Betting Picks

Canada’s top two players (Auger-Aliassime and Shapovalov) are both ranked considerably higher than Germany’s top two players. Moreover, the Canadians have better overall depth than Germany. It should be an easy win for the Canadians.

Tennis Picks: Canada -550

Italy vs. US Game Info and Analysis

Matchup Info

  • Venue: Palacio de Deportes Martin Carpena
  • Start Time: 4 a.m. EST
  • Where to Watch: Tennis Channel (US) and Sky Italia (Italy)

Italy

Italy will have a tough time winning the Davis Cup finals this year as they enter the quarterfinals with key absences. The Italians reached the quarters thanks to contributions from top-10 players Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini. However, they’re both out due to injury. Lorenzo Musetti headlines the team, and Berrettini will still be there in Spain to show moral support.

“Matteo is going to be with us to give us his support,” said captain Filippo Volandri. “It’s not often that players who aren’t playing decide to travel and just support from the bench. That’s why I didn’t want to replace him. He is still in the team.”

Key Injuries

As mentioned, Sinner and Berrettini are out of action. Sinner announced last week he was unable to play, while Berrettini pulled out at the last minute, citing a foot injury he suffered in Naples a few weeks ago.

Betting Trends to Know

While he doesn’t have the name recognition of Sinner or Berrettini, Musetti is a talented 20-year-old who reached a career-best world No. 23 this past October. He participated in the Next Gen ATP Finals and won the Tennis Napoli Cup on October 23, defeating Berrettini 7-6, 6-2 in the finals.

US

The US hasn’t won the Davis Cup since 2007 but is a popular tennis betting pick to win this year, given its overall depth. The Americans are headlined by Frances Tiafoe, Tommy Paul, and Taylor Fritz.

Key Injuries

“Everybody’s healthy. Everybody’s hungry,” said American captain Mardy Fish earlier this week. “And the guys want to win for each other and play for each other and they’re really excited to kind of get going. This is the best squad we’ve had in a long time.”

Betting Trends to Know

Tiafoe and Fritz come into the Davis Cup finals betting preview having played some of the best tennis of their respective careers. Tiafoe, world No. 19, was a finalist at the US Open and won a career-best $2 million in prize money this year. Fritz reached the semifinals of the ATP Finals and won the Japan Open earlier in October, defeating Tiafoe in the finals.

Italy vs. US Odds

The Americans are the betting favorites at -163, while Italy is paying out +120.

Italy vs. US Betting Picks

When making Davis Cup finals betting picks, expect a Canada-US semifinal at the Davis Cup this year, as the Americans will overpower Italy with their depth and star power.

Tennis Picks: US -163

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