Following the ATP Masters 1000 BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells, the calendar shifts to the Miami Open, another one of the several ATP 1000 tennis events in the 2024 season. The field in Miami is mostly the same as in Indian Wells, with the exception of Novak Djokovic, who was upset in the Round of 32 and pulled out of Miami due to scheduling conflicts.
Each of the top 32 players receives a bye into the second round of the 96-player tournament, but there’s still plenty of intrigue in first-round matches, which begin on Wednesday. In one of the matches, veterans Dan Evans and Lorenzo Sonego meet in a rematch of the second round of the 2024 Australian Open.
Here’s a look at the Sonego vs Evans betting analysis of the latest scores and odds.
Lorenzo Sonego vs Dan Evans Information
Lorenzo Sonego vs Dan Evans
Location of the game: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida
Date & Time: Wednesday, March 20 at TBD
How to Watch: Tennis TV and ESPN+
Lorenzo Sonego vs Dan Evans Recent Scores
Sonego, the world No. 53, is coming off a Round of 64 exit at the BNP Paribas Open. Cam Norrie beat Sonego in straight sets 6-4, 6-4. Sonego beat Miomir Kecmanovic in the opening round of the tournament. He previously reached the Round of 16 at the Dubai Duty-Free Tennis Championship before losing to Daniil Medvedev.
Evans, ranked No. 43 in the world, lost to Roman Safiullin in three sets in the opening round at Indian Wells. His tennis stats for the match included three aces, winning 70 percent of points on first serve, and going 2-of-5 in breakpoint chances. Safiullin was 5-for-12 in breakpoint opportunities.
Lorenzo Sonego vs Dan Evans Betting Analysis
Sonego Struggling to Begin the 2024 Season
Sonego hasn’t played well to begin the 2024 season, but he can draw upon past Miami Open results to gain some confidence. The veteran Italian reached the Round of 16 in Miami last year and, coincidentally, beat Evans in three sets in the second round. He also scored straight-set wins over Dominic Thiem and Frances Tiafoe.
Sonego is 3-0 all-time against Evans but is just 4-8 to start this season, including 4-7 on hard courts. He has a losing record on outdoor hard courts in each of the last five seasons.
Evans Looking to Redeem 2024 Australian Open Loss
Evans hasn’t been any better in early 2024 as he is just 2-6 through eight matches, all of which have been on outdoor hard courts. He is a historically better player on the surface, however, going 19-13 in 2022 and 12-11 the year prior. He won the Citi Open last August in what was easily the biggest title of his career but hasn’t been in good form since, in part due to a calf injury.
Sonego beat Evans in a back-and-forth, four-set affair at the 2024 Australian Open 4-6, 7-6 (8), 6-2, 7-6 (4). For the Sonego vs Evans betting analysis, Evans is winless in three matches against his Miami Open opponent. He has lost three matches in a row this season to Safiullin, Ben Shelton, and Thanasi Kokkinakis.
Updates
Both players are healthy and without any injury concerns heading into the Sonego vs Evans betting analysis.
Lorenzo Sonego vs Dan Evans Betting Preview
For the Sonego vs Evans betting analysis, the Italian is favored at -130 and Evans has tennis odds of +100. Other tennis odds include a games total of 21.5 at BetUS.
Lorenzo Sonego vs Dan Evans Betting Prediction
Neither player has performed well to start the 2024 season, but Sonego is 3-0 against Evans in his career and beat him last year in Miami. He should be able to leverage that comfort level and confidence for another victory.
- Pick: Sonego -130.
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