The tennis competition at the 2024 Paris Olympics is coming to an end and, to nobody’s surprise, the final in the men’s singles tournament sees Carlos Alcaraz up against Novak Djokovic.
Alcaraz beat Djokovic in the Wimbledon final less than a month ago, is the defending champion at Roland Garros, where the tournament is being held, and has been as dominant as ever in the last month.
Djokovic, meanwhile, hasn’t lost a set in these Olympics and is determined to win his first gold medal in likely his last Olympic Games. Let’s take a look at the upcoming matchups betting trends to see why that probably won’t happen, and it will be Alcaraz who emerges victorious.
Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz



- How to Watch: NBC/Peacock and Tennis TV
Odds Breakdown for Both
1HCP:
Djokovic: +2½
Alcaraz: –2½
2Moneyline:
Djokovic: +210
Alcaraz: -260
3Total:
21.5 points.
Djokovic
Djokovic is almost never an underdog in upcoming matchups betting trends, so it’s strange to see him listed as a +200 underdog against Alcaraz, although it is warranted considering how dominant the Spaniard has been as of late. Other Olympic games betting odds include the total at 22.5 and Djokovic with a +3.5 (-120) games spread.
Alcaraz
Alcaraz is a -250 moneyline favorite with -3.5 (-120) match hand-odds.
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Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Betting Lines
BetUS betting line: Djokovic +3.5 (-105)
While Alcaraz won their last head-to-head match in three sets at Wimbledon, Djokovic has taken his game to another level in the Olympics and has said he has been waiting 20 years for an opportunity at an Olympic gold medal. Ultimately, I believe Alcaraz will win as he has been nearly unbeatable in the last few months, but this should be a competitive match and BetUS has the most favorable odds in upcoming matchups betting trends for Djokovic to cover the spread.
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BetNow Betting line: Alcaraz -280
BetNow doesn’t have the best odds for an Alcaraz win, but it’s their only available market right now and as much as I believe Djokovic can cover, it will be Alcaraz who takes the gold medal. The 21-year-old has been at the top of the sport for the better part of two years now and has been unmatched in the Olympics. His tennis betting stats have been impressive as he hasn’t lost a set and absolutely dominanted Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-1, 6-1 in the semi-finals. Auger-Aliassime was playing at a high level coming into the match, but Alcaraz made him look like a player ranked well outside of the top-100.
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MyBookie Betting line: Alcaraz -225
Alcaraz is 38-6 overall this season, including 17-3 on clay. He has lost two of his last three matches against Djokovic, but he has been known to up his game when it matters, beating the 24-time grand slam champion in the Wimbledon finals in consecutive years. He also has a clay court victory over Djokovic in the Mutua Madrid Open in 2022.
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Bookmaker Betting line: Over 22.5 (-110)
The over is a great pick for upcoming matches betting trends involving Djokovic and Alcaraz. Ignoring their last two matches on grass and hard court, they’ve played in the maximum number of sets in three of their first four matches and went four sets at the 2023 French Open. It seems inevitable that the Olympic gold medal match goes three sets.
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Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Recent Trends
Djokovic Last 5
- 6-4, 6-2 win over Lorenzo Musetti
- 6-3, 7-6 (3) win over Stefanos Tsitsipas
- 7-5, 6-3 win over Dominik Koepfer
- 6-1, 6-4 win over Rafael Nadal
- 6-0, 6-1 win over Matthew Ebden
Alcaraz Last 5
- 6-1, 6-1 win over Felix Auger-Aliassime
- 6-3, 7-6 (7) win over Tommy Paul
- 6-4, 6-2 win over Roman Safiullin
- 6-1, 7-6 (3) win over Tallon Griekspoor
- 6-3, 6-1 win over Hady Habib
Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Best Bet
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