Predictions to Win Rolex Paris Masters

The Rolex Paris Masters, an ATP 1000 level event on indoor hard courts, is one of the last tennis events of the season before the Nitto ATP Finals and takes place at Accor Arena in Paris from October 30 to November 5. It’s the 51st edition of the tournament and, with €5,779,335 in prize money and 1,000 ranking points available, has attracted almost all of the top-20 players in the world.

The top eight players earn an automatic bye into the second round of the 56-player tournament. Holger Rune, the sixth seed who holds the eighth spot in the Nitto Race to Turin, is the defending champion. Hubert Hurkacz, Taylor Fritz, and Casper Ruud are chasing Rune for the final spot in the Nitto ATP Finals, which begins November 12.

Nitto ATP Finals Implications

With just two more events after this week and both being ATP 250 level events, this week in Paris is the best chance for any of the players on the outside looking in to stake their claim to a final eight spot in the Nitto ATP Finals. Hurkacz reached the final of the Swiss Indoors Basel last week and is now just 215 points behind Rune in tennis stats.

Fritz and Ruud, two early favorites in Rolex Paris Masters predictions, are also within striking distance of Rune and could surpass him – and potentially seventh-ranked Alexander Zverev – with a tournament victory. Fritz defeated Sebastian Baez in straight sets on Monday, while Ruud received the eighth and final bye into the second round, where he will face the winner of Gael Monfils and Francisco Cerundolo.

There’s even a chance that someone like Tommy Paul (12th) or Alex De Minaur (13th) could break into the top eight with a victory in Paris, but a lot would have to go their way, including early exits for those ahead of them.

The Race for No. 1

The last spots in Turin aren’t the only things up for grabs in Paris this week. Novak Djokovic, the favorite in Rolex Paris Masters predictions, is playing for the first time since winning the US Open. The current world No. 1 has won three Grand Slams this season and would have already cemented the world No. 1 spot for the remainder of the year if he had played more this season. Instead, Carlos Alcaraz, who beat Djokovic in the Wimbledon final, can reclaim the top spot if he reaches the final.

Alcaraz, who has the second-best odds in tennis predictions, finished last season as the top-ranked player in the world, whereas Djokovic held that distinction in each of the last two seasons. Both players have a bye to the Round of 32 and would potentially line up for a meeting in the finals.

Underdog Picks

The smart money in Paris is on either Alcaraz or Djokovic, although there’s not a ton of value in betting on either of those players. Those looking further down the board can find value in players like Alexander Bublik and Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Bublik had a breakthrough early this season, winning his first two career titles, but has recently been the underdog in tennis odds for most matches and certainly wasn’t a favorite in Rolex Paris Masters predictions. However, he won his first-round match against Frances Tiafoe in straight sets and has a favorable second-round match against Nicolas Jarry.

Auger-Aliassime, meanwhile, has had a difficult season but, for the second year in a row, is playing his best tennis at the end of the season. He defended his title at the Swiss Indoors last week, only losing one set in five matches while beating Rune and Hurkacz in consecutive sets in the semi-final and final, respectively.

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