Cinderella Story or Reality Check? Musetti’s Wimbledon Dream Run Meets Djokovic
It hasn’t been easy to bet on tennis through the first five rounds at Wimbledon. Top seed Jannik Sinner is out of the tournament, losing in the quarter-finals to Daniil Medvedev, but instead another Italian, Lorenzo Musetti, is in the semi-finals against Novak Djokovic.
Musetti had never advanced beyond the fourth round at a grand slam before Wimbledon. He has a win against Djokovic, beating him in three sets at the 2023 Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters, but don’t expect that on Friday. Let’s look at why in our Wimbledon Djokovic vs Musetti best betting trends.
Wimbledon Semi-Final Heats Up! And our top scores and odds of the day got you covered with the main events action!
Djokovic vs Musetti Information
Donna Vekic vs Jasmine Paolini
Location: All England Club in London, England
Date & Time: Friday, July 12 at TBD
Watch On: ESPN and Tennis TV
Djokovic vs Musetti Picks
- Pick: Over 34.5 (-110)
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Djokovic vs Musetti Odds Breakdown
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
BetUS Odds | Djokovic: -6½ -115 Musetti: +6½ -115 |
Djokovic: -700 Musetti: +450 |
O 34½ -115 U 34½ -115 |
BetNow Odds | Djokovic: — Musetti: — |
Djokovic: -700 Musetti: +450 |
O — U — |
MyBookie Odds | Djokovic: — Musetti: — |
Djokovic: -800 Musetti: +450 |
O — U — |
Bookmaker Odds | Djokovic: -6½ Ev Musetti: +6½ -122 |
Djokovic: -833 Musetti: +536 |
O 35 -110 U 35 -111 |
According to the Wimbledon betting odds, Djokovic is a major betting favorite in the Wimbledon Djokovic vs Musetti best betting trends with betting odds for Wimbledon including -700 for a moneyline victory and -6.5 (-110) for the match handicaps. The game’s total is 34.5. Musetti has +450 tennis odds to beat Djokovic and +6.5 (-125) match handicaps odds.
Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Betting Lines
BetUS Betting Line: Over 34.5 (-115)
Djokovic is 5-1 in his career against Musetti and should prevail once again, but it likely won’t be a straight-set victory as the Wimbledon Djokovic vs Musetti best betting trends seem to indicate. Novak has lost a set in two of his last three matches and Musetti has had three five-set matches and two four-set matches. Djokovic and Musetti also played a five-set affair at the 2024 French Open.
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BetNow Betting Line: Djokovic -710
As good as he has been playing, nobody expects Musetti to beat Djokovic. It could happen, but the 24-time grand slam champion is nearly unbeatable at Wimbledon predictions and will have nearly four full days of rest after not having to play in the quarter-finals. BetNow has the best tennis betting odds for a straight-up Djokovic victory at -710.
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MyBookie Betting Line: Correct Score 3-1 (+197)
MyBookie has plenty of props for the Djokovic and Musetti semi-final match at Wimbledon, including the correct score market, where I like a 3-1 result for Djokovic. Three of their six prior matches have gone the maximum amount of sets (five sets twice at the French Open and once in Monte-Carlo), so it’s hard to imagine a straight set victory for either player. Djokovic also has two 3-1 victories in four matches at Wimbledon and is prone to getting off to slow starts.
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Bookmaker Betting Line: Over 35 (-110)
Djokovic and Musetti went over this total in their last two grand slam matches, both of which went five sets. Even if the match goes four sets, as suggested by the aforementioned MyBookie line, it could still easily go over the 35 total with one or two 7-6 tiebreak sets.
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Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Recent Trends
Djokovic Last 5
- Walkover win over Alex de Minaur
- 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 win over Holger Rune
- 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 (3) win over Alexei Popyrin
- 6-3, 6-4, 5-7, 7-5 win over Jacob Fearnley
- 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 win over Vit Kopriva
Musetti Last 5
- 3-6, 7-6 (5), 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 win over Taylor Fritz
- 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-2 win over Mpetshi Perricard
- 6-2, 6-7 (4), 7-6 (3), 6-3 win over Comesana
- 6-4, 4-6, 6-7 (5), 6-4, 6-4 win over Luciano Darderi
- 4-6, 7-6 (4), 6-2, 6-2 win over Constant Lestienne
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Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Bet
This Wimbledon Djokovic vs Musetti best betting trends analysis suggests a close match. This makes the Over 3.5 sets betting option at -110 odds a particularly enticing opportunity for tennis fans. Good luck with your Tennis picks!
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