Revenge on His Mind: Medvedev Aims to Upset Defending Champion
While it’s not the match we expected for Wimbledon, Medvedev vs Alcaraz betting analysis has the potential to be an instant classic. Medvedev beat the favorite in Wimbledon expert picks (Jannik Sinner) in the quarter-finals on Tuesday, setting up the seventh showdown between him and Alcaraz in the semi-finals.
It’s tough to bet against the defending champion Alcaraz, but this has the feel of a Medvedev revenge tour. Keep reading to see why I like Medvedev to score another upset and reach his first career Wimbledon final.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Information
Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz
Location: All England Club in London, England
Date & Time: Friday, July 12 at TBD
Watch On: ESPN and Tennis TV
Medvedev vs Alcaraz Picks
- Pick: Medvedev +250
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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Analysis
| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS Odds | Medvedev: +4½ -115 Alcaraz: -4½ -115 |
Medvedev: +245 Alcaraz: -320 |
O 39½ -115 U 39½ -115 |
| BetOnline Odds | Medvedev: +4½ -105 Alcaraz: -4½ -115 |
Medvedev: +260 Alcaraz: -320 |
O 39½ -108 U 39½ -112 |
| SportsBetting Odds | Medvedev: +4½ -106 Alcaraz: -4½ -115 |
Medvedev: +260 Alcaraz: -320 |
O 39½ -108 U 39½ -112 |
| Bookmaker Odds | Medvedev: +4½ -105 Alcaraz: -4½ -115 |
Medvedev: +268 Alcaraz: -357 |
O 39½ -112 U 39½ -109 |
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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Preview and Updates
Medvedev earned a spot in the Wimbledon Medvedev vs Alcaraz betting analysis with an upset win over top seed Sinner, beating him 6-7 (7), 6-4, 7-6 (4), 2-6, 6-3 in what was a classic match.
He may have benefitted from only having to play one set in his fourth-round match against Grigor Dimitrov but has looked great in his previous matches. Alcaraz, who beat Medvedev in last year’s Wimbledon semi-final, earned a spot in this semi-final after a four-set win over Tommy Paul.
Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Recent Scores
Medvedev
- 6-7 (7), 6-4, 7-6 (4), 2-6, 6-3 win over Jannik Sinner
- 5-3 (retire) win over Grigor Dimitrov
- 6-1, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 (3) win over Jan-Lennard Struff
- 6-7 (3), 7-6 (4), 6-4, 7-5 win over Alexandre Muller
- 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 win over Aleksander Kovacevic
Alcaraz
- 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, 6-2 win over Tommy Paul
- 6-3, 6-4, 1-6, 7-5 win over Ugo Humbert
- 5-7, 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 (2), 6-2 win over Frances Tiafoe
- 7-6 (5), 6-2, 6-2 win over Aleksander Vukic
- 7-6 (3), 7-5, 6-2 win over Mark Lajal
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Daniil Medvedev: Looking to Reach First Wimbledon Final
Getting back to the Medvedev revenge tour idea – this year’s Wimbledon seems as though we’re due for a different winner other than Alcaraz or Djokovic, although the 24-time grand slam champion is also into the semi-finals after a walkover victory in the quarters against Alex de Minaur.
Nonetheless, Medvedev avenged a somewhat embarrassing Australian Open finals loss to Sinner, beating him in five sets on Tuesday after letting a 2-0 set advantage slip away in the Australian Open final. He now has a chance to avenge his semi-final loss to Alcaraz at last year’s Wimbledon Medvedev vs Alcaraz betting analysis.
Medvedev lost in straight sets in that match but beat Alcaraz in straight sets two years prior at Wimbledon. He is 2-4 in six matches against the 21-year-old Spaniard, most recently beating him at the 2023 US Open.
Key Injuries
Medvedev has no injury concerns heading into his semi-final match against Alcaraz.
Betting Trends to Know
- Medvedev is 2-4 in his career against Alcaraz, including 1-1 at Wimbledon.
- He is 6-1 on grass courts this season and 33-9 overall.
Carlos Alcaraz: Defending Wimbledon Champion
It hasn’t been an easy 2024 tennis schedule for Alcaraz, but he has shown incredible perseverance at Wimbledon this year, winning each of his last three matches in four sets. He lost the first set in two of those matches, including a five-set victory over American Frances Tiafoe in which he went to a fourth-set tiebreak that he needed to win to extend the match.
Alcaraz is looking to win his fourth grand slam and second consecutive Wimbledon title and could potentially meet Djokovic in a rematch of last year’s final if he beats Medvedev. Alcaraz is 31-6 this season in tennis stats and 6-1 on grass courts.
Key Injuries
There are no injury concerns for Alcaraz. He has, however, been on court for 14 hours and 12 minutes, which is about two hours longer than Medvedev.
Betting Trends to Know
- Alcaraz is 4-2 in his career against Medvedev, most recently beating him at Indian Wells earlier this season.
- He has covered the -4.5 spread in four of his five matches at Wimbledon.
Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Prediction
Again, Medvedev, especially with such favorable Wimbledon Tennis odds, is the smart pick for Wimbledon’s best bets in the semi-finals.
He’s playing with all the confidence in the world and has to have faith that he can beat Alcaraz after taking down the world No. 1 in the quarter-finals.
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