Upsets Reign Supreme: Wimbledon Women’s Draw Wide Open
The women’s draw at Wimbledon has been completely unpredictable with none of the top three Wimbledon expert picks – Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka, and Coco Gauff advancing to the quarter-finals. Instead, seventh seed Jasmine Paolini is the only top-10 player in the semi-finals thus far alongside Elena Rybakina.
Paolini takes on unseeded Donna Vekic in the first semi-final and should prevail as she has been dominant on the 2024 tennis schedule since the French Open and is the first Italian woman into the Wimbledon semi-finals. Here’s a closer look at the 2024 Wimbledon women’s semis betting analysis for Paolini vs Vekic.
Donna Vekic vs Jasmine Paolini Information
Donna Vekic vs Jasmine Paolini
Location: All England Club in London, England
Date & Time: Thursday, July 11 at TBD
Watch On: ESPN and Tennis TV
Vekic vs Paolini Picks
- Pick: Paolini -154
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Donna Vekic vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Analysis
Here is a look at the latest Wimbledon tennis odds, before making your tennis picks:
Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
BetUS Odds | Vekic: +2½ -110 Paolini: -2½ -125 |
Vekic: +150 Paolini: -188 |
O 22½ -110 U 22½ -120 |
BetOnline Odds | Vekic: +2½ -110 Paolini: -2½ -110 |
Vekic: +135 Paolini: -155 |
O 21½ -125 U 21½ +105 |
SportsBetting Odds | Vekic: +3½ -131 Paolini: -3½ -105 |
Vekic: +146 Paolini: -189 |
O 21½ -125 U 21½ -110 |
Bookmaker Odds | Vekic: +2½ -110 Paolini: -2½ -111 |
Vekic: +125 Paolini: -154 |
O 22 -114 U 22 -108 |
Donna Vekic vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Preview and Updates
Vekic is into her first career grand slam semi-final due to a favorable draw but also some hard-earned victories. Four of her five wins heading into the 2024 Wimbledon women’s semis betting analysis have been decided in three sets, including a three-set victory that had two tiebreaks in the third round against Dayana Yastremska.
Paolini, meanwhile, has won four of her five matches in straight sets and has looked like a completely different player this season, going 29-12 and reaching a career-best world No. 7 ranking.
Donna Vekic vs Jasmine Paolini Recent Scores
Vekic
- 5-7, 6-4, 6-1 win over Lulu Sun
- 6-2, 1-6, 6-4 win over Paula Badosa
- 7-6 (4), 6-7 (3), 6-1 win over Dayana Yastremska
- 6-2, 6-3 win over Erika Andreeva
- 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 win over Xiy Wang
Paolini
- 6-2, 6-1 win over Emma Navarro
- 6-3, 6-7 (6), 5-5 (retired) win over Madison Keys
- 7-6 (4), 6-1 win over Bianca Andreescu
- 7-6 (5), 6-2 win over Greet Minnen
- 7-5, 6-3 win over Sara Sorribes Tormo
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Donna Vekic: Playing in First Grand Slam Semi-Final
Vekic, currently ranked No. 37 in the world, has never been ranked higher than No. 19 nor has she ever made a grand slam semi-final, so it’s a good sight to see her excelling at the oldest tennis tournament in the world, especially since she considered retiring after undergoing knee surgery in 2021. Her patience has paid off as she is now playing the best tennis of her career, with a 10-3 record on grass and 22-14 overall.
Vekic is 1-2 in her career against Paolini, but those matches won’t matter for current tennis events as they have never played on grass. Vekic has a much better career record on the surface than Paolini, who was 6-13 on grass coming into this season.
Key Injuries
Vekic has no current injury concerns, although fatigue could be an issue as she has been on the court for more than 10 hours, which is two hours longer than Paolini.
Betting Trends to Know
- Vekic is 1-2 in her career against Paolini
- She has a record of 55-34 in her career on grass courts.
- Four of her five matches at Wimbledon have gone over the 22.5 total for the 2024 Wimbledon women’s semis betting analysis.
Jasmine Paolini: First Italian Woman to Make Wimbledon Semis
Paolini has been enjoying a breakthrough season on the WTA Tour, reaching her first grand slam final at Roland Garros and now becoming the first Italian woman to make a Wimbledon semi-final. She has faced some tough opposition, including Bianca Andreescua and Madison Keys, who had a chance to beat her in the third set of their fourth-round match before retiring due to injury. However, she has won four of her five matches in straight sets and thus far looks like the most confident player at the All England Club.
Paolini’s performance is particularly surprising considering she was 2-3 on grass courts last year and had lost six matches in a row over the last four years before that. Each of her two wins against Vekic were in straight sets.
Key Injuries
Paolini has no injury concerns heading into the 2024 Wimbledon women’s semis betting analysis.
Betting Trends to Know
- Paolini is 2-1 in her career against Vekic.
- Four of her five matches at Wimbledon have gone under the 22.5 total for her match against Vekic.
- She is 13-2 in her last 15 matches.
Donna Vekic vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Prediction
A Paolini moneyline victory is the best bet here. She has been playing at a different level since the start of the French Open and is a lot fresher than Vekic, who has had to play four three-set matches.
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