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Home▷Wimbledon▷2024 Wimbledon Womens Final: Paolini vs Krejčíková Analysis

2024 Wimbledon Womens Final: Paolini vs Krejčíková Analysis

Wimbledon Final Upset? Paolini (+115) vs. Krejčíková (Favored)

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Takuya Matsumoto / Yomiuri / The Yomiuri Shimbun via AFP

Unseeded Paolini Reaches Final vs Former No.2 Krejčíková

The surprises continued in the Paolini vs Krejčíková Wimbledon final betting analysis for the 2024 Championships. Each of the top three seeds were out by the fourth round and the highest-ranked player left in the draw, the fourth seed Elena Rybakina, was ousted in the semi-final by former world No. 2 Barbora Krejčíková.

She’ll take on Jasmine Paolini, the first Italian woman to make the Wimbledon final, who beat Donna Vekic in a classic semi-final match. Paolini is into her second consecutive grand slam final and is our tennis pick for best tennis bets today to win Saturday’s final.

Jasmine Paolini vs Barbora Krejčíková Information

Jasmine Paolini vs Barbora Krejčíková

Location: All England Club in London, England

Date & Time: Saturday, July 13 at TBD

Watch On: ESPN and Tennis TV

Paolini vs Krejčíková Picks
Wimbledon logo

  • Pick: Paolini +115

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Jasmine Paolini vs. Barbora Krejčíková Betting Analysis

Before give you our 2024 Wimbledon predictions, here are the latest tennis odds available:

Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
BetUS Odds Krejčíková: -1½ -115
Paolini: +1½ -115
Krejčíková: -140
Paolini: +110
O 22½ -115
U 22½ -115
BetOnline Odds Krejčíková: -1½ -110
Paolini: +1½ -110
Krejčíková: -135
Paolini: +115
O 22½ -110
U 22½ -110
SportsBetting Odds Krejčíková: -1½ -110
Paolini: +1½ -110
Krejčíková: -135
Paolini: +115
O 22½ -110
U 22½ -110
Bookmaker Odds Krejčíková: -1½ -111
Paolini: +1½ -110
Krejčíková: -137
Paolini: +112
O 22½ -111
U 22½ -110

Jasmine Paolini vs Barbora Krejčíková Betting Preview and Updates

Surprisingly, Krejčíková is the betting favorite in the Paolini vs Krejčíková Wimbledon final betting analysis. The 28-year-old Czech player is a former world No. 2 and is a proven grand slam winner, but has dealt with back injuries over the last few years, falling outside of the top 30 in the tennis world rankings. Paolini, meanwhile, is into her second consecutive grand slam final after making the final at Roland Garros and has looked stronger in every match played since.

Jasmine Paolini vs Barbora Krejčíková Recent Scores

Paolini Last 5

  • 2-6, 6-4, 7-6 (8) win over Donna Vekic
  • 6-2, 6-1 win over Emma Navarro
  • 6-3, 6-7 (6), 5-5 (retire) win over Madison Keys
  • 7-6 (4), 6-1 win over Bianca Andreescu
  • 7-6 (5), 6-2 win over Greet Minnen

Krejčíková Last 5

  • 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 win over Elena Rybakina
  • 6-4, 7-6 (4) win over Jelena Ostapenko
  • 7-5, 6-3 win over Danielle Collins
  • 6-0, 4-3 (retire) win over Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
  • 7-6 (6), 7-6 (5) win over Katie Volynets

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Jasmine Paolini Analysis: Looking to Prevail in 2nd Consecutive Grand Slam Final

Paolini was a surprise runner-up at the French Open, but it’s not surprising to see her back in a grand slam final so quickly. The world No. 7 had top-10 Wimbledon winner odds to open the tournament, has benefitted from not having to play a top-five player, and is playing the best tennis of her life. She is 30-12 this season, including 8-1 on grass. Paolini had just six wins combined on grass in the last seven seasons.

Paolini wasn’t tested too much in the early rounds of the tennis schedule, but prevailed in an instant classic semi-final win against Vekic, winning 10-8 in a third-set tiebreak. She’ll carry that momentum into the final against Krejčíková, against whom she is 0-1 in her career. However, that match was more than six years ago and on hard courts.

Key Injuries

Paolini doesn’t have any injury concerns for the Paolini vs Krejčíková Wimbledon final betting analysis.

Betting Trends to Know

  • Paolini is 8-1 on grass courts this season.
  • She is 0-1 against Krejčíková in her career.
  • Two of her last three matches have gone over the 22.5 total.

Barbora Krejčíková Analysis: Overcoming Injury Woes

Krejčíková upset Rybakina in the semi-finals after dropping the first set, showcasing her resilience and mental fortitude. She hadn’t dropped a set in the tournament before that match, so to respond in the way she did says a lot about her confidence. The world No. 32 improved to 13-9 this season with the win, including 7-2 on grass.

Krejčíková was 0-4 on clay this season and didn’t come into Wimbledon as a favorite. She wasn’t even among the top 20 betting favorites to Win Wimbledon at most sportsbooks.

Key Injuries

Krejčíková has dealt with back injuries during the last year or so, missing considerable time since Abu Dhabi in February. Injuries have clearly affected her on hard and clay courts, but she is most comfortable on grass courts, where she is 17-6 over the last four years.

Betting Trends to Know

  • Krejčíková is 1-0 against Paolini. She is 7-2 on grass this season and 13-9 overall.
  • Four of her last five matches have been under the total.

Jasmine Paolini vs Barbora Krejčíková Betting Prediction

Paolini is a little more battle-tested and durable than Krejčíková. She won multiple three-set matches at Wimbledon and at Roland Garros a month ago, all of which have prepared her for this moment.

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#Barbora Krejčíková
#Jasmine Paolini
#Tennis
#Wimbledon
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