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Home▷UFC Picks and Parlays▷Aliskerov vs Trocoli Betting Analysis and Prediction

Aliskerov vs Trocoli Betting Analysis and Prediction

Aggressive Aliskerov Looks to Overwhelm Trocoli in UFC Debut

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Ed Mulholland - USA TODAY Sports

The UFC is back in action from the APEX again this weekend with a fight card full of interesting matchups. One of the most interesting upcoming UFC fights will be the co-main event between middleweights Ikram Aliskerov and Antonio Trocoli. Trocoli is making his UFC debut after stepping in on short notice to replace Andre Muniz.

Read more for information on the event this weekend on the UFC fight schedule, along with the official Aliskerov vs Trocoli betting prediction heading into the weekend.

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Aliskerov vs Trocoli Fight Information

Ikram Aliskerov vs Antonio Trocoli

Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Date & Time: June 15, 2024. 10 PM ET Main card start

Where to watch: ESPN+

Aliskerov vs Trocoli Picks
 Fighting Icon Gold

  • Pick: Aliskerov to win by TKO/KO -150.

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Last Fight Record

Aliskerov is coming off a first-round TKO win over Warlley Alves at UFC 294 last October.

Trocoli hasn’t fought since his submission win over Reslley Menezes in November 2021 at Brazilian Fighting Series 3.

Aliskerov vs Trocoli Betting Analysis

Ikram Aliskerov

Aliskerov is a Russian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 15-1, including 6 TKO/KO wins and 5 submissions so far at the age of 31. He is a former multiple-time world champion in combat sambo and is now 2-0 in the UFC. One UFC post-fight bonus is all he’s got to show for it, while booking fights remains a challenge.

A southpaw stance and a 76-inch reach complement Aliskerov’s 6’0” frame. In only 2:09 of average time in the octagon, he averages a whopping 8.24 significant strikes landed per minute and 2.33 takedowns per 15 minutes. Aliskerov is a very aggressive fighter, also averaging 2.3 submission attempts per 15 minutes.

Antonio Trocoli

Trocoli is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 12-3, including 3 TKO/KO wins and 5 submissions. At the age of 33, Trocoli has been released from a UFC contract twice without even stepping foot in the octagon. He failed a drug test when he fought and earned a contract at Dana White’s Contender Series, and then pulled out of his UFC debut against Ovince St. Preux and was released in 2022. He also had another UFC debut canceled against Oumar Sy last month.

Trocoli stands tall at 6’5” and fights orthodox. He boasts a lengthy reach of 82 inches. In his DWCS fight, Trocoli averaged 1.27 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 4.56 per minute. He landed a takedown in that fight and then submitted his opponent via neck crank within 4 minutes.

Updates

Fortunately, there are no reported injuries from either the UFC or ESPN.

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Aliskerov vs Trocoli Betting Preview

If you check the UFC schedule today, this weekend’s event isn’t full of any massive names, but there are a lot of interesting prospects with big fights. This isn’t as big of a fight as it should be, but Aliskerov will still get a chance to showcase his skills.

Let’s take a look at the betting lines and stylistic matchup for this co-main event to be able to make the best UFC bets possible this weekend. This is the process you should do for every bet you make on this sport, especially when making this Aliskerov vs Trocoli betting prediction.

Starting with the UFC odds, Aliskerov is going into the weekend as a massive -1400 betting favorite over the +800 Trocoli. According to the BetUS betting lines, this fight is unlikely to go the full distance. The odds heavily favor an inside-the-distance finish (-1200) with the under 1.5 round total also favored at -200. This means that oddsmakers expect this one to end quickly.

Stylistically, this is an interesting clash of athletes in the octagon. Aliskerov has the combat sambo skill set where he’s a very strong grappler, but it’s clear that he prefers showcasing his talents by striking. He has all-around skills that will make him a legit UFC contender, whenever the ranked opponents start accepting fight offers to face him.

Trocoli hasn’t competed in years and has lots of question marks about how he will look this weekend. Even if he doesn’t have any rust to shake off, he hasn’t fought anybody notable outside of his bad losses in the LFA. He is a solid grappler with good Judo techniques to get the fight on the ground and work towards a submission.

Aliskerov vs Trocoli Betting Prediction

UFC picks are tough to make because so many things can happen in that octagon. The skills in this matchup are heavily one-sided with Aliskerov as the massive betting favorite, but there’s always a chance for an injury or a stunning KO in those four-ounce gloves.

The official Aliskerov vs Trocoli betting prediction is that Aliskerov will get the win by TKO/KO and that prop bet will cash at -150.

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