Pick Analysis
UFC 305 Du Plessis vs Adesanya fight odds have it dead even for the middleweight title fight on Saturday.
It’s time for the mics to be put down and the fists to be put up, as two of the most polarizing fighters do battle in Australia.
We’re picking Israel Adesanya to win his UFC next event, and it would bring the house down in front of his Australasian fans.
Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Analysis
According to latest UFC 305 odds, Adesanya opened as the -125 favorite before money came for current champion Du Plessis.
Our UFC predictions expect late money to come for Adesanya, who fits in front of Kiwi and Australian fans, and that could make a big difference.
Home fighters are often best-backed late in the market, and UFC 305 Du Plessis vs Adesanya fight odds are likely to move close to fight time.
Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Preview & Updates
We were surprised to see Du Plessis open as the underdog, before the weight of money came for the champion.
The South African is now the equal favorite with Adesanya, but because he doesn’t have much experience in title fights, his odds could drift.
Du Plessis vs Adesanya Recent Results
Dricus Du Plessis:
- January 20, 2024: Win vs Sean Strickland
- July 8, 2023: Win vs Robert Whittaker
- March 4, 2023: Win vs Derek Brunson
- December 10, 2022: Win vs Darren Till
- July 2, 2022: Win vs Brad Tavares
Israel Adesanya:
- September 10, 2023: Loss vs Sean Strickland
- April 8, 2023: Win vs Alex Pereira
- November 12, 2022: Loss vs Alex Pereira
- July 2, 2022: Win vs Jared Cannonier
- February 12, 2022: Win vs Robert Whittaker
Du Plessis Analysis: Champ Reaching for Title Defense
We think Du Plessis could struggle to beat Adesanya, and it has a lot to do with his reach disadvantage.
The 30-year-old South African has a significantly shorter reach, and although he might be bulkier than Adesanya, that power might be wasted if he can’t touch him.
If Du Plessis lands a significant blow on Adesanya’s chin, it’s all over. However, better fighters have tired and failed to knock him out, and that’s his only chance of winning.
If the current middleweight champ doesn’t knock out Adesanya, we don’t see how he wins. He’s unlikely to land more strikes, so the game plan will be there to attack and close the space.
Our UFC predictions see him struggling to clinch Adesanya, who stays on his toes and he stays on the outside.
If that happens, the money coming with UFC 305 Du Plessis vs Adesanya fight odds for the champion could be misplaced.
Adesanya Analysis: The Last We See of Stylebender?
A loss to Du Plessis could be the last time we see The Last Stylebender, but we don’t see it happening.
Despite being the elder fighter at 35, he has gone away from the sport and he looks better than ever. He has put on muscle and he has worked on his mental game, which was sorely lacking against Strickland.
In that title fight, he looked like a shadow of his former self, which sparked rumors about a retirement. However, the allure of fighting Du Plessis for the title was too much to turn down.
The -115 joint favorite has the technical skill to defeat his rival, and he has a good record beating fighters who are physically imposing.
He took care of Pereira, Jared Cannonier, Marvin Vettori, Paolo Costa, and Yoel Romero, who are all heavily muscled UFC fighters.
Du Plessis is no different, and Adesanya’s fighting style should see him prevail.
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Du Plessis vs Adesanya Betting Prediction
We’re happy to snap up the UFC 305 Du Plessis vs Adesanya fight odds, which have Adesanya at a generous price.
The Kiwi/Nigerian fighter seems destined to win back the middleweight title from Du Plessis, especially in front of a crowd full of fans.
Du Plessis deserves plenty of respect, but he hasn’t fought anyone like Adesanya, and he hasn’t fought at this level of intensity.
We thought he would lucky to get past Strickland, so take Adesanya to get his hand raised.
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