UFC on ABC: “Chito” Vera vs Figueiredo Betting Analysis

UFC Fight Night: Vera and Figueiredo Battle for Top Contender Spot

The next UFC event on the schedule is this Saturday in Abu Dhabi with a great card stacked full of elite talent and big fights. One of the most interesting UFC fights on the main card is this bantamweight contender fight between Marlon ‘Chito’ Vera and Deiveson Figueiredo.

Who will get their hand raised and move closer to the top of the division? Read more for betting analysis and official Vera vs Figueiredo UFC Fight Night prediction before you bet on any of these fights.

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Last Fight Record

• Vera is coming off a unanimous decision title fight loss to Sean O’Malley at UFC 299 in March.
• Figueiredo is coming off a submission win over Cody Garbrandt at UFC 300 in April.

Vera vs Figueiredo Betting Analysis

Chito Vera

• Vera is an Ecuadorian professional mixed martial artist with a record of 23-9-1, including 8 TKO/KO wins and 10 submissions.
• He has taken home 8 post-fight bonuses and has the most finishes in bantamweight history at 8.
• He also has the most fight time in bantamweight history, almost 4.5 hours, making him a battle-tested veteran and division legend.
• They list Vera as a 31-year-old, 5’8” fighter with a 70” reach who switches stances.
• He averages 4.31 significant strikes landed per minute in the octagon while absorbing an average of 5.48.
• He also has a modest 70% takedown defense and a 0.9 submission average.

Deiveson Figueiredo

• Figueiredo is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 23-3-1, including 9 TKO/KO victories and 9 submissions.
• He is the former two-time UFC flyweight world champion and is currently 2-0 since moving up to bantamweight following a title loss to Brandon Moreno in their fourth fight.
• He was the 2020 Fighter of the Year in 7 different major publications.
• They list Figueiredo as a 36-year-old orthodox fighter, standing at 5’5” with a 68” reach.
• He was always a pretty big and strong flyweight, making his move to bantamweight easier to adjust.
• In the octagon, Figueiredo averages 3.01 significant strikes landed and 3.38 absorbed per minute.
• He adds 1.65 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 1.7 submission average.

Updates

The UFC and ESPN have not reported any injuries.

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Vera vs Figueiredo Odds

Moneyline:Total:

+115O —

-145U —

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Moneyline:Total:

+121O 2.5 -295

-141U 2.5 +235

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Moneyline:Total:

+118O 2.5 -290

-160U 2.5 +196

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Moneyline:Total:

+118O 2.5 -276

-158U 2.5 +198

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Vera vs Figueiredo Betting Preview

To make the most accurate Vera vs Figueiredo UFC Fight Night prediction, we need to go over the betting lines and the styles of each fighter. These two major factors can help us paint a picture of how this fight might go and what we should bet on.

According to the current UFC odds, Figueiredo is the one coming in as the betting favorite at -140, with Vera at +120. The fight to go the distance at -260 is the favorite line. There are plenty more prop bets to look at and we will discuss that in the prediction.

Stylistically, this is a tough fight for Vera. He is the taller man with a lot of experience now at this high level, but he isn’t built for three-round fights–more on that later. He is also coming off a brutal loss where he was on the wrong end of 50-44 scorecards and took a lot of damage–more than his entire career.

Figueiredo is pushing his late 30s in age, but he still looks strong and athletic, with some legit speed. He isn’t the most technical striker and will probably look to use his grappling in this one. He will try to pressure Vera against the fence and look for body lock takedowns and trips to get to work on the ground; where he is a high-level black belt.

Vera will need to stay off the cage and control the center of the octagon. He needs to let his hands go, his usual style of not throwing anything in the first round or two won’t do anything good for him in a 3-round fight against Figueiredo.

Vera vs Figueiredo Betting Prediction

After compiling this information and studying the tape, our UFC Fight Night pick is that Figueiredo will get his hand raised and win a decision, moving closer to a title shot.

Vera can either get better or get worse coming off that demoralizing loss to O’Malley. But he will need to be a different UFC fighter to get back into the title picture, especially to beat Figueiredo.

There isn’t enough confidence to bet on Vera because of his slow start and timidness to let his hands go. The prop bets aren’t valuable enough to get away from Figueiredo’s money line, though.

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