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Home▷UFC Picks and Parlays▷UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa Analysis and Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa Analysis and Predictions

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The UFC schedule is opening up in September with the first-ever event in France. At this historical event, heavyweights Ciryl Gane (10-1) and Tai Tuivasa (15-3) will be headlining the main card. Check the Gane vs Tuivasa Betting Predictions below.

Top 3 of the UFC Heavyweight Division

The two are ranked in the top 3 of the UFC heavyweight division and will most likely be fighting for a chance to challenge for a championship belt in their next bout.

The Gane vs. Tuivasa predictions seems to be pretty mixed around the MMA community so far. Gane is coming off his first loss when he challenged Francis Ngannou for the heavyweight belt in January of this year.

Tuivasa is currently on a five-fight win streak with all knockouts. Most notably, his last fight was a big knockout win against UFC legend Derrick Lewis in February. 

Gane vs. Tuivasa Betting Analysis

Ciryl Gane Analysis

Gane is one of the most interesting heavyweights in the world right now. He has a level of movement and quickness that we have never seen with someone his size.

The way he bounces in and out of range and uses a plethora of striking techniques to break down his opponents is impressive to see at this level.

Gane’s Background

Entering the UFC, Gane had a lot of hype behind him coming from France, and he proved why right when he first stepped into the octagon. He fast-tracked into a title shot that he might have not been 100% ready for. 

In his fight against Ngannou, he showed how tough of a puzzle he is to solve in the striking game, but he got outclassed down the stretch with wrestling. Even though Ngannou is not necessarily a wrestler.

With his opponent never attempting a takedown in the UFC, this will most likely not factor into any Gane vs. Tuivasa predictions from any analyst.

Tai Tuivasa Analysis

Tai Tuivasa has won the hearts of a lot of MMA fans over this last year. From his words on the mic to chugging beers out of shoes after a big win, he has gained a massive fan base and a lot of hype going into this top contender fight.

Top of the Division

But we have to remember that he continues to put on great performances, and that is the main reason he is at the top of the division right now. With his style of fighting, this will be a tough test for Tuivasa to land cleanly on Gane.

Like every other fighter in the heavyweight division, Tuivasa has not been in the octagon with anyone with the skills that Gane has. It will be very interesting to see how he approaches this fight.

UFC events that spoil the fans with an exciting heavyweight matchup like this one, along with being in front of a crowd that has never experienced it, will make this fight an even bigger spectacle with the chance for Tuivasa to become a bonafide superstar if he puts on a great performance. 

Fighters’ Expectations

Gane eyes interim title shot after a win against Tuivasa in France. Tuivasa is looking to “upset the world” once again with a win over Gane.

Gane vs. Tuivasa Betting Preview

UFC odds are very interesting for this matchup. Gane is a massive favorite over Tuivasa at around -550 at some sportsbooks.

This is appalling, considering the power that Tuivasa possesses in his hands. Also, Tuivasa finished Derrick Lewis quicker than Gane did. I do not agree with the oddsmakers at all.

Tuivasa has been proving people wrong his whole life, so he is no stranger to this, and I think it will only fuel him, and hopefully, this is the best training camp of his career leading up to this one.

The islanders that come from Australia and New Zealand have been taking over the UFC as of late, and Tuivasa will surely be using that energy going into this one.

Technical and Hometown Advantage

Gane has the technical advantage and the hometown advantage. I expect the France crowd to be electric the whole night while experiencing their first UFC event.

The best French fighter will be headlining this card, and the crowd will be trying their best to carry him to the best performance possible. It will be interesting to see how both fighters react to such a high-pressure situation.

Gane vs. Tuivasa Betting Prediction and Pick

Making UFC picks based on Gane vs. Tuivasa predictions can be challenging considering these odds. Gane has no value to bet on, and that makes this fight tough to even look at.

Tuivasa is a lot more capable of winning this fight than the oddsmakers think, which makes it so interesting and exciting to watch.

Tuivasa’s Favor

My prediction is that Gane will be controlling the fight early on. His footwork and creativity in there will be a tough puzzle to solve for Tuivasa, and it might turn into a very frustrating night.

But the power advantage is 100% in Tuivasa’s favor, and the Australian is a lot more athletic than people give him credit for. He has shown some serious quickness and elite striking accuracy in the octagon as of late.

Who to Bet On?

For the sake of these odds, I am going to have to go with Tuivasa. His power, the momentum he has, and the massive value in picking him lead me to make this decision.

He has the ability to end the fight at any moment with a flurry of nasty hooks or an elbow in the clinch up against the cage.

Gane will do his best to stay in the center of the octagon, but I fully expect Tuivasa to show his heart and not let Gane play the game he wants to play for 25 minutes.

UFC Pick: Tai Tuivasa to win (+375)

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#Ciryl Gane
#Tai Tuivasa
#UFC
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