The next UFC fight to cover for this weekend is the main event bout between middleweights Jack Hermansson and Joe Pyfer. Will Hermannson defend his spot in the top 15 rankings? Or will the fresh face in the division be able to make the leap and move to the top of the division?
Hermansson vs. Pyfer Picks
- Pick: Pyfer -255.
Read more for the official Hermannson vs Pyfer prediction before placing any UFC bets on this weekend’s card.
Hermansson vs Pyfer Information
Jack Hermansson vs Joe Pyfer
Location of the game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date and Time: February 10, 2024. 7 PM ET main card start
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
The record of the fighters in past UFC events is the kind of information that you need to read before any Hermannson vs Pyfer prediction.
Hermansson is making his return to the octagon for the first time since December 2022 when he lost to Roman Dolidze via second-round TKO.
Pyfer is coming off a second-round submission win over Abdul Razak Alhassan in October.
Hermansson vs Pyfer Betting Analysis
Hermansson is a Swedish-Norwegian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 23-8, including 11 TKO/KO wins and 6 submissions so far at the age of 35. Formerly the Cage Warriors middleweight champion, he now ranks #11 in the UFC middleweight division.
Hermansson is a 6’1” orthodox striker with a reach of 77”. He holds the UFC record for the most significant strikes landed in a 5-round middleweight bout while averaging a whopping 5.13 significant strikes landed per minute in the octagon. He also averages 1.66 takedowns per 15 minutes and sports a solid 75% takedown defense, a pivotal insight when any Hermannson vs Pyfer prediction is on the make.
Pyfer is a 27-year-old American mixed martial artist in the middleweight division with a record of 12-2, including 8 TKO/KO wins and 3 submissions in his professional MMA career. He has already won two Performance of the Night bonuses in his three total UFC fights as well.
Pyfer has an impressive 6’2” frame with a 75” reach fighting out of the orthodox stance. He averages 3.64 significant strikes landed and 2.34 absorbed per minute in the octagon. He also averages 2.97 takedowns per 15 minutes at an 83% rate.
UFC and ESPN have not reported any injuries.
Hermansson vs Pyfer Betting Preview
The Hermansson vs Pyfer prediction can’t be done without previewing the betting lines and styles of both fighters in this main event bout. UFC picks have to be made by understanding that styles make fights and betting lines are important to decide what bet to make.
Starting at the available UFC odds for this main event, you will see that Hermansson is taking the underdog role this weekend and coming in with a +215 betting line over the -255 Pyfer in his first main event. The over/under for rounds is 2.5, with the under 2.5 favored at -155.
Oddsmakers are putting lines out that suggest they believe that the most likely outcome this weekend is that Pyfer will win by KO in the early rounds. Will that happen at this UFC Fight Night event at the APEX?
Stylistically, Hermansson has an awkward style where he moves uniquely and looks kind of herky-jerky in the octagon. He has very good wrestling skills and does most of his damage from the top position with ground and pound.
Pyfer’s youth and athleticism accompany a power speculated to rival that of Francis Ngannou. He also has the confidence and ability to submit talented fighters on the ground when he mixes up his wrestling well–using respect for his power against his opponents.
Hermansson vs. Pyfer Betting Prediction
Victory and defeat hinge on the scrambles in this fight. Hermansson needs to create wrestling scrambles and use the opportunities to jump on Pyfer’s back, chase submissions, and deal damage on the ground as well.
Even though there is a clearer path to victory for Hermansson, the official Hermansson vs Pyfer prediction is that Pyfer will get his hand raised on Saturday night.
If you are betting on Pyfer, you should just take him to win inside the distance because his money line isn’t the most valuable. He will have 25 minutes to do what he does best. He is too on fire right now to bet against when he’s fighting arguably the best matchup for him in the middleweight rankings.
- Pick: Pyfer -255.