This weekend’s UFC fight schedule has another UFC Fight Night APEX event in Las Vegas full of plenty of upcoming contenders facing off. One of the most interesting matchups on the card will be this women’s strawweight bout between Luana Pinheiro and Amanda Ribas to open up the main card.
Pinheiro vs. Ribas Picks
UFC Fight Night: Pinheiro ML +200.
Continue reading for the official Pinheiro vs. Ribas prediction ahead of placing your bets on this weekend’s card.
Luana Pinheiro vs. Amanda Ribas Information
Luana Pinheiro vs Amanda Ribas
Location of the game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date & Time: November 18, 2023. 5 PM ET main card start
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Pinheiro is coming off a big split-decision win over Michelle Waterson-Gomez in April at UFC 287.
Ribas is looking to bounce back from a TKO loss to Maycee Barber in June.
💥🥊 An all-Brazil top 15 strawweight clash features on the #UFCVegas82 main card this Saturday.
#9 🇧🇷 Luana Pinheiro, unbeaten in UFC, aims to make it 4-0. Standing in her path is the formidable #11 🇧🇷 Amanda Ribas, returning to 115 after a stint at flyweight! #WMMA #UFC pic.twitter.com/DG7K7RJjZj
— Women’s MMA Rankings (@WMMARankings) November 12, 2023
Luana Pinheiro vs. Amanda Ribas Betting Analysis
Pinheiro is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 11-1 with 2 KO wins and 5 submissions under her belt at the age of 30. She earned her UFC contract by winning her DWCS fight by first-round KO in November of 2020.
Now in the UFC, Pinheiro averages 3.86 significant strikes landed and 3.67 significant strikes absorbed per minute. She also puts her Judo skills to use and averages 2.83 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 50% clip.
Ribas is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a professional record of 11-4 with 2 TKO/KO wins and 4 submissions. She’s a black belt in both Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and Judo. She trains under her father Marcelo, a legendary martial arts trainer in Brazil.
In the octagon, Ribas averages an impressive 4.73 significant strikes landed, and only 3.24 significant strikes absorbed per minute. She also will get 2.27 takedowns of her own per 15 minutes in the cage and has a stingy 88% takedown defense. She’s also going to be the bigger athlete in the octagon this weekend, with a 4-inch reach advantage.
No injuries have been reported to the UFC.
Pinheiro vs. Ribas Betting Preview
When making the Pinheiro vs. Ribas prediction, there are a few things that need to be previewed. We have to study the tape on both women to predict how their styles might clash, and then the betting lines will tell us where exactly to put our money after knowing who we think the more probable winner will be.
Starting with the betting lines, Ribas is the -235 betting favorite over Pinheiro at +200. Since it’s so early on in fight week, there are no other lines available. Keep your eyes open and assume all the prop bets will be released by the middle of fight week.
After watching the film on Pinheiro, it’s easy to see that she’s really skilled. She has good feet and quick hands, but sometimes it looks like she has trouble committing to her strikes. She will always be most comfortable once she gets in close and can get her Judo skills going with slick trips and hip tosses.
Ribas is an interesting fighter to watch. She is very tough and isn’t afraid to take heavy shots to land her own and get inside. She has very strong grappling as well. Her style seems difficult to figure out because her hands are moving like crazy and she uses a lot of weird feints.
Since these two are both super-good grapplers, it wouldn’t be surprising that this is just a kickboxing fight. Usually with two elite grapplers, they respect each other too much on the ground and just end up throwing hands for all 15 minutes.
Pinheiro vs. Ribas Betting Prediction
UFC predictions are very difficult to make because the fighters are so good at this level and the sport of MMA is so unpredictable. With that being said, this is the best place to look for the best possible UFC bets to make on the biggest fights every weekend.
The official Pinheiro vs. Ribas prediction is that Pinheiro is going to stun Ribas with her quick hands and get the job done. The upright stance of Ribas and her lack of boxing defense is worrisome and will set her up to eat some big right hands from Pinheiro.
- Pick: Pinheiro ML +200.
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