One of the most interesting upcoming UFC fights is this main card bout between bantamweights Payton Talbott and Nick Aguirre. Talbott is a highly-touted prospect making his UFC debut against a tough kid making his only second appearance in the company.
Talbott vs. Aguirre Picks
- Pick: Talbott ML
Read more for a breakdown of this matchup and for the official Talbott vs Aguirre prediction ahead of placing your UFC bets.
Talbott vs. Aguirre Information
Payton Talbott vs Nick Aguirre
Location of the fight: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date & Time: November 18, 2023. 5 PM ET main card start
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Talbott is making his UFC debut after winning his bout on DWCS over Reyes Cortez Jr. in August.
Aguirre is looking to bounce back from suffering a loss to Dan Argueta in his past UFC fight in January.
Payton Talbott vs. Nick Aguirre Betting Analysis
Payton Talbott
Talbott is an American mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 6-0 with 5 of those wins coming by TKO/KO. He was a good athlete and competed in wrestling in high school, but after he graduated, he realized his interest in the sport of MMA. He’s now 25 years old and is listed as 5’10” with a 73” reach while switching his stances constantly throughout a fight.
In his DWCS fight, he averaged a whopping 9.67 significant strikes per minute and landed them at a 51% clip. He also has a 97% takedown defense after stuffing an incredible 16 takedowns in that bout against Reyes Cortez Jr.
Nick Aguirre
Aguirre is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 7-1 with 3 TKO/KO wins and 4 submissions. His 100% finish rate is due to his exciting fight style. “Slick” Nick Aguirre is listed at 5’9” with a 74” reach while fighting out of the southpaw stance.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the UFC.
Talbott vs. Aguirre Betting Preview
Before we can make the Talbott vs Aguirre prediction, we have to take a closer look at the betting lines and then study the tape on these two prospects. The lack of knowledge we have of these guys will make it tough to bet, but the film should show us what we need.
According to UFC fight odds, Talbott is coming in as the massive -900 betting favorite in his UFC debut against the +600 Aguirre. These are surprising UFC odds to see for a guy making his debut, but the oddsmakers must know how good he is. The fight is also favored to end inside the distance at -260; another rarity for bantamweight MMA.
From studying the film on Talbott, the kid has a lot of skills. He has deceptive power in his hands that seemingly hurts every opponent he has seen very badly early. He proved he can stuff a ton of takedowns and dig deep to get through a grueling 15 minutes. Payton Talbott throws a nice jab and has some very nice boxing skills with clean punches–especially his uppercut.
Aguirre will surely test the grappling of Talbott in this one. He has an interesting southpaw style of striking, but it’s clear to see that his go-to is shooting for a takedown at any sign of discomfort. He will also look for it on his front foot, but when he’s getting backed up he will go for a takedown 100% of the time.
Payton Talbott vs. Nick Aguirre Betting Prediction
Making UFC picks is very tough, especially when includes prospects who no one knows a lot about. With that being said, the official Talbott vs Aguirre prediction is that Talbott will get his hand raised.
This is going to be a bigger test than what the UFC odds say, but the uppercut and knees up the middle are going to be there if Talbott has even a decent fight IQ and has coaches to call out those shots in the corner. Aguirre is too predictable to do much offensively to a finisher like Talbott.
- Pick: Talbott ML
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