For anyone betting on MMA, you know the UFC schedule has been stacked with some incredible events lately that have spoiled us fans and sports bettors every Saturday. This weekend, the UFC is back at the APEX in Las Vegas with a great card.
This weekend’s event is headlined by a top lightweight matchup between Rafael Fiziev and Mateusz Gamrot. Along with the headliner, there are plenty of great fights to bet on and win across the entire card.
Let’s take a closer look at this weekend’s UFC Fight Night prop bets to make and explain how to make these UFC predictions at a high level every weekend.
Prop Bet Lines
Betting on the Finish in Collier vs. Usman
To start the night off right, let’s begin on the preliminary card with this matchup between Jake Collier and Mohammed Usman in the heavyweight division. Usman is the brother of longtime former welterweight champion Kamaru and is coming off a TUF 30 title.
He has a tough task with fighting the talented Jake Collier, but the prop bet to hit in this fight is the fight ending inside the distance at -130. Simply put, if you can get a heavyweight bout to end inside the distance with those odds, you shouldn’t pass it up.
— UFC Africa (@HoussamNasr2) September 20, 2023
Another fight, to open up the main card, with the exact same pick to make is the featherweight bout between Charles Jourdain and Ricardo Ramos. Take this one to end inside the distance at -130 as well. These two are going to come into the octagon looking for a performance bonus and both are willing to bite down on their mouthpiece and bang. They also have slick submission skills.
Bryan Battle’s Battle Plan
To move up on the main card, another UFC Fight Night prop bet on your betting slate has to be Bryan Battle winning inside the distance against AJ Fletcher. You can get this bet at +155 odds. The reasoning behind this prop is the move down to welterweight that Battle has made. He looks to be ready to jump into the top half of the division and start finishing fights now that he has the physical advantage over opponents.
Another prop bet to hit on the main card is in the co-main event between Bryce Mitchell and Dan Ige. You can find Mitchell winning by unanimous decision at +115 at some sportsbooks, so keep your eye on that. He’s going to figure out that he doesn’t want to stand up with Ige, so he will go to his dominant top-pressure style of wrestling and grind out a decision.
Epic Battle in the Octagon
In the main event; if you are looking for a prop bet for this one then you have come to the right place. To be honest, taking this fight to go the distance at -115 is a smart bet. Even the oddsmakers don’t know what’s going to happen in this fight, but there’s a good chance it’s going to be a showcase of unbelievable skill and toughness from both men.
Fiziev and Gamrot are two of the most skilled fighters on the roster and there’s a good chance it will be fight-of-the-night on Saturday and potentially will be talked about for the rest of the year.
Now for the fun part of making UFC Fight Night prop bets, the longshot pick. UFC Fight Night Prop bets are easily mistaken for a favorable chance to win a lot of money off your bet, but you need to remember the odds are there for a reason. These picks with over +300 odds are very tough to hit.
- But for the fun of the game, this weekend’s longshot prop is Marina Rodriguez to beat Michelle Waterson-Gomez by submission at +2200. “The Karate Hottie” is known to get caught in submissions and after coming off a few losses, she’s going to have to take some chances.
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— Marina Rodriguez🇧🇷 (@wmmarz) September 20, 2023
Rodriguez is going to catch her on the feet and hurt her, and then Waterson-Gomez is going to get in a bad position, maybe even shoot for a panic takedown where Rodriguez is going to have a free shot at her neck. This would be a rare submission for Rodriguez, hence the longshot odds.