The upcoming UFC event this weekend is UFC 305 in Perth, Australia. This card is full of great fights, but one of the most exciting will be this flyweight co-main event between contenders Kai Kara-France and Steve Erceg, two natives of that region of the world.
Keep reading for an official Kara-France vs Erceg fight prediction before you place any bets of your own this weekend.
Kara-France
24-11-0
Erceg
12-2-0
Win By Decision
Last Fight Record
- Kia Kara-France is coming off a really close split-decision loss to Amir Albazi in June 2023, leaving a lot of fans upset with the scorecards.
- Erceg is coming off losing his first title fight against Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 301 in May.
Kara-France vs Erceg Odds
Here is a look at the latest UFC odds available for this fight:
Kara-France vs Erceg Betting Analysis
Kara-France Brings Diverse Skillset to the Octagon
- Kara-France is a professional mixed martial artist from New Zealand with a record of 24-11, including 11 wins by TKO/KO and 3 by submission.
- The longtime martial artist is a blue belt in BJJ but has years of experience at great gyms like Tiger Muay Thai in Thailand, and City Kickboxing in Auckland.
- He has 5 post-fight bonuses under his belt in the UFC.
- Kara-France is a 5’4” orthodox striker with a 69” reach at 31 years old.
- He has averages of 4.57 significant strikes landed and 3.24 absorbed per minute in the UFC octagon.
- He also will mix in takedowns, averaging 0.63 per 15 minutes and has a stellar 88% takedown defense.
Erceg Brings Dangerous Striking and Submission Game to the Octagon
- Erceg is an Australian MMA fighter with a professional record of 12-2, including 2 TKO/KO victories and 6 submissions.
- He is a former Eternal MMA flyweight champion and has collected two Performance of the Night bonuses in the UFC.
- Steve Erceg is listed as a 29-year-old orthodox fighter with a height of 5’8” and a reach of 68”.
- He averages 4.52 significant strikes landed and 4.20 absorbed per minute in the octagon while adding 1.24 takedowns per 15 minutes.
Updates
UFC or ESPN have not any injury news related to this bout.
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Kara-France vs Erceg Betting Preview
The next step to arrive at a Kara-France vs Erceg fight prediction is breaking down this fight in multiple ways. First, the betting lines, and then the stylistic matchup of these two elite athletes. This is how we make these free UFC picks for you.
According to the betting lines, Kara-France is the +135 underdog but is trending closer to the -155 Erceg after opening as the +180 underdog. This fight is favored to go the full 15-minute distance at -225. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds with the ‘under’ currently at +200 value.
Stylistically, Kara-France is a unique fighter. He is a striker but isn’t very technical or calculated at the moment, but he clearly drills great setups and combinations to land in the fight. He will switch up stances and throw an awkward looping hook to set up a big straight up the middle, or things of that nature.
Erceg is the much more technical and sharper striker, showing off some very crisp boxing with good defensive responsibility and technique. He always has a solid game plan that he trusts and will stick to, along with his size being an issue for a lot of flyweights. He is also very creative and dangerous on the ground.
The repetitions of the techniques from Kara-France might be an issue against a very cerebral fighter like Erceg, but Kara-France also has very good takedown defense that might make this a tough fight for Erceg.
Kara-France vs Erceg Betting Prediction
After studying this fight in multiple ways, the official Kara-France vs Erceg fight prediction is that Erceg will get the job done in a pretty dominant fashion. The toughness of Kara-France has always been there, so it will be tough to finish him, but a 30-27 decision is in the cards.
Erceg is just too sharp and too good all-around for Kara-France to exploit. Don’t be surprised if Kara-France is hurt multiple times as Erceg is very good at picking shots from a distance with his boxing, and he will even land some snappy head kicks.
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