UFC 304: King Green vs Paddy Pimblett Betting Analysis

The next UFC event to bet on is this weekend’s UFC 304 in Manchester. One of the key fights on the main card is this lightweight matchup between King Green and Paddy Pimblett. This is a huge fight for both men to see if they are ready to move up to the top of the lightweight division.

Read more for the official Green vs Pimblett fight prediction before placing bets on this weekend’s card.

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Last Fight Record

• Green is coming off a unanimous decision win over Jim Miller at UFC 300 in April.
• Pimblett is coming off a unanimous decision win over Tony Ferguson at UFC 296 last December.

Green vs Pimblett Odds

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Green vs Pimblett Betting Analysis

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Green vs Pimblett Betting Preview

The Green vs Pimblett fight prediction needs more information about the UFC betting lines and the technical matchup between the two very different styles of these athletes.

To make the best UFC picks, we need to understand the betting lines. The odds say Green is the slight betting favorite at -119 odds compared to Pimblett at -101. This line has dramatically trended closer together since Pimblett opened as the +210 underdog.

Stylistically, this is a very interesting matchup. King Green has a unique style where he fights with his hands down to give his opponent a sense of comfort, then stinging them with sharp jabs and straight right hands down the middle. He is a master of distance control and even has a very underrated wrestling skill set. 

Pimblett is much more comfortable on the ground, but he continues to get more confident in his striking. He has a traditional kickboxing stance, throwing a snappy high kick, and has some power behind his punches. His biggest issue is keeping his chin in the air without much defense.

The key to this fight is whether or not Paddy Pimblett can take this fight to the ground. He will get his ears boxed off by Green if he settles for striking with the UFC veteran for 15 minutes.

Green vs Pimblett Betting Prediction

After watching the tape on both guys and studying their styles, the official Green vs Pimblett fight prediction is that Green will get his hand raised. He has plenty of value in his moneyline to make a straight bet and not overthink the exact outcome.

Green is faster and sharper at striking and has the wrestling to keep the fight on the feet. He is a veteran of the sport and has seen every type of style possible and at a higher level than Pimblett. 

There won’t be anything Pimblett can show him that will make him really struggle, not even the hostile atmosphere. Green will thrive in that sold-out arena and gladly play the bad guy beating up the UK star.