UFC 305: Li Jingliang vs Carlos Prates Best Bets & Trends

UFC is back in Perth this weekend on the 2024 UFC schedule with a great card full of very interesting matchups. One of the most interesting fights on the main card is this welterweight bout to open up the PPV portion of the event between Li Jingliang and Carlos Prates.

Jingliang is coming off a long layoff due to a serious injury, will he be able to handle the young and dangerous Prates? We are going to take a look at the Jingliang vs Prates UFC betting trends and discuss any interesting findings.

Then we are going to break down this fight both technically and by the UFC betting odds to determine who to bet on this weekend.

Li Jingliang vs Carlos Prates Recent Results

• Li Jingliang is making his return to the octagon for the first time in almost 2 years, coming off a split-decision loss to Daniel Rodriguez at UFC 279 in September 2022.
• Prates is coming off a first-round KO win over Charlie Radtke in June.

Li Jingliang vs Carlos Prates Betting Odds

Li Jingliang vs Carlos Prates Betting Lines

BetUS betting line:

This line has moved quite a bit since opening; with Carlos Prates almost at 100 more points the favorite since the public has started betting.

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BetOnline betting line:

This line has done the opposite of BetUS, they have moved closer together. This is also the most value you can get out of both guys right now, according to the Jingliang vs Prates UFC betting trends.

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Jazz Sports betting line:

Prates’ line hasn’t moved much since opening, but Jingliang opened at only +181 here. The odds will keep trending away from each other as fight week goes on.

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Mybookie betting line:

Like always, Mybookie with a very solid, stable line with both UFC fighters moving exactly 75 points away from each other, and the market is trending for this to continue until lines close on Saturday.

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Jingliang vs Prates Best Bet

After breaking down the Jingliang vs Prates UFC betting trends and understanding what the betting lines are looking like for this welterweight matchup this weekend, we have a good idea of how this fight will most likely play out.

UFC predictions are difficult to make because MMA is so unpredictable, especially at this high of a level. You need to understand the styles of both fighters and make predictions based on what’s most likely to happen.

In this case, the glaring factor going into this matchup in Perth is the health and recovery of Jingliang. He is not young anymore for the welterweight division and is coming off a serious UFC injury to his spine.

This sport takes a toll on the body, especially the spine, which is incredibly delicate. With that being said, along with the dynamic explosiveness of Prates, the only smart bet to make is taking Prates to win.
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Prates Aims for Upset Win Over Jingliang at UFC 305

There isn’t a ton of value in Prates’ moneyline, so taking him to win by decision at +375 might be the best bet to make on this entire card. Jingliang is going to be tough to get rid of because he still has that fight IQ and great chin, but it will be interesting to see how he handles being back in the octagon.

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