In the newly named co-main event for UFC 282, Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett (19-3) will be meeting Jared “Flash” Gordon (19-5) in the octagon inside T-Mobile Arena. Check the Pimblet vs Gordon Betting Prediction.
This is Pimblett’s UFC PPV debut, and he is facing the toughest test of his career in Gordon this weekend in the last numbered event on the 2022 UFC fight schedule.
Read along for the Pimblett vs Gordon betting prediction, formed by a betting analysis and preview of this great lightweight matchup.
Last Fight Record
Pimblett is coming off of a 2nd round submission victory over Jordan Leavitt in July. Gordon is fresh off of a decision victory over Leonardo Santos in August.
Pimblett vs. Gordon Betting Analysis
Paddy Pimblett
Pimblett is 3-0 in the UFC with three finishes. This success is tough for any prospect to obtain, and he is doing it with a lot of pressure and a lot of fame already.
To go along with his big, authentic personality, Pimblett has shown some serious heart and dangerous skills in the octagon,
Pimblett’s Stats
His UFC stats are slightly off because he only has three fights in the promotion and averages only a little over five minutes of fight time in the octagon.
Pimblett is also averaging 4.19 strikes landed per minute and 3.00 strikes absorbed. He has also had 1.88 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 40% clip.
Submission Attempts
“The Baddy” also has a whopping 4.7 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Pimblett will fight with a lot of pressure and volume and try to overpower his opponent.
There is no analytics that shows it, but he also has this knack of getting to the opponent’s backs and locking up chokes.
In Cage Warriors, he showed a plethora of incredible finishes via everything from leg locks to flying triangles.
Jared Gordon
Jared Gordon is fighting out of Queens, New York, and brings all the toughness of that area with him in the octagon.
With a great story of his adult life, it seems fitting he is getting this big opportunity in the co-main event slot of a big PPV against someone with the star power of Pimblett.
Gordon has more experience in the UFC than his opponent, with 11 fights leading up top this Saturday.
High-Volume Fighting Style
He averages 11:47 of fight time and also enjoys a high-volume fighting style. He averages 5.53 strikes landed per minute while only absorbing 3.11.
He will also shoot for a lot of takedowns if he wants. Gordon averages 1.97 takedowns per 15 minutes at only a 39% clip.
Submissions aren’t his game, but he uses his wrestling to implement his ground-and-pound from the top position.
Updates
No injuries were reported to NSAC leading up to UFC 283.
Pimblett has said that this is potentially the last time he will famously gain an abundance of weight after a fight.
Paddy Pimblett vs. Jared Gordon Betting Preview
Paddy Pimblett Betting Preview
UFC odds have Pimblett as the -257 betting favorite leading into this matchup. This is his 4th straight fight in the UFC, being the betting favorite.
Gordon is at +217 currently, and the underdog spot is something he is comfortable being in. He has stated that he is coming into this fight like he is “fighting Godzilla” and will give everything he has to pull off the upset.
When previewing this matchup to make a Pimblett vs Gordon betting prediction, we need to look at the styles.
Pimblett has holes in his striking game. He keeps his chin up in the air in a lot of exchanges and leaves openings to get touched with a big counter. He seems to keep improving, though.
Jared Gordon Betting Preview
Gordon is a tough, durable fighter that likes to wrestle and fight with a lot of pressure. For example, even in his fight with Charles Oliveira, the submission king of the UFC, he shot for a double leg takedown within minutes.
He seems to have no fear in opponents’ jiu-jitsu skills and thinks he can beat anybody from the top position.
Something else that we can take from Gordon’s fight against Oliveira is that Oliveira is a very hittable fighter.
Pimblett has his head in the same spot as Oliveira, and Gordon will need to be able to find his chin.
Pimblett is going to feed off the energy in T-Mobile Arena with a lot of stars in the building to see him. This is his opportunity to become a superstar in the United States, the same way he has in his home in the UK.
Gordon will need to fight his best to beat Pimblett on Saturday night. If he can take Paddy down and end up in the top position to inflict damage via elbows and punches, this fight can turn into a big issue for Pimblett.
Paddy Pimblett vs. Jared Gordon Betting Predictions
UFC picks are so challenging to make because of the unpredictable nature of the sport. Literally, anything can happen once those octagon doors close, and the fight begins.
This fight is going to be very intense and will give everyone watching that nervous feeling like all the stars do.
This is going to be the biggest test for Pimblett, while Gordon has faced the likes of the great Charles Oliveira already. Gordon has seen some of the best and will be ready for anything that Pimblett brings to the table.
For the final Pimblett vs Gordon betting prediction, you have to go with Pimblett to get this job done. These odds are pretty good to get in the rise of Paddy “The Baddy” and will be able to find some value in this pick.
Who to Bet On?
Pimblett is going to come out hot with jumping switch-kicks and big winging hooks early on.
He might get caught with a right hand or a great level change by Gordon early on, but he is going to settle in as the first round goes by.
I predict a finish for Pimblett in this one. Again, he just has a knack for locking up submissions and performing outstanding finishes.
He is the type of athlete that thrives under bright lights, and he will take full advantage of this opportunity in front of a packed T-Mobile Arena crowd.
UFC Pick: Pimblett (-260)
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