UFC Paris is back again this fall, with Ciryl Gane headlining the night as well. The French MMA trailblazer is taking on the dangerous Sergey Spivak in a massive fight with title implications on the line. A win for Gane keeps him at the top of the division, waiting for Jon Jones to retire, and a win for Spivak puts him in a top contender fight.
Let’s take a look at the future Spivak vs Gane lines and get to an early prediction on the outcome of this clash of heavyweights.
Last Fight Record
Spivak is coming off a massive submission win over Derrick Lewis in February.
Gane is going to have to bounce back from a very tough loss to Jon Jones in March.
Spivak vs. Gane Future Betting Lines
| Fighter | Odds |
| Sergey Spivak | +160 |
| Ciryl Gane | -240 |
As of right now, the future Spivak vs Gane lines has Gane as the -240 betting favorite over the +160 Spivak. There are no other prop bets available, as it’s just way too far away for that. The money line for this fight is very interesting.
When looking at Gane as the big favorite, you have to question why that might be the case. We know that he struggles with wrestling and submission defense, and Spivak is a savage on the ground.
But the oddsmakers must take into account that Spivak got finished by Tom Aspinall, who has a similar style and ability to move as Gane.
Spivak vs. Gane Betting Analysis
Analyzing both of these heavyweights makes the available odds even more confusing than they were at first glance. According to the UFC stats, Spivak averages 5.05 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon. Gane is notorious for his sub-par 45% takedown defense.
Those numbers don’t mix well in a matchup. Spivak is a very big and very strong man with excellent MMA wrestling skills. He is going to be tough to deal with if Gane finds himself on his back at any point.
Gane has his advantages when both men are standing. He is a master of keeping his range and hitting people while not getting hit. He averages 5.08 sig. strikes landed per minute and only absorbs 2.25.
Sergey Spivak vs. Ciryl Gane Betting Prediction
This Paris event on the UFC schedule should be circled by you to watch in September. The atmosphere and the fights are so amazing that you feel the energy through your screen. But who’s going to get their hand raised?
This prediction is coming far too early to have the best grasp of this bout, but with the future Spivak vs Gane lines available, we might as well break it down.
Spivak is going to continue his streak and run right through Gane. There might be other factors going on with Gane and his mentality after that tough loss to Jones, but with all that aside, Spivak is still too tough of a matchup for the Frenchman–even in his home country.
Gane might be able to keep the distance early with a lot of movement and front kicks. He is obviously going to make a lot of adjustments with his time off and be better at wrestling than he was before.
Beyond the Octagon
But there is just such a clear difference in the type of fighters these guys are. Gane is a world-class athlete that takes this sport very seriously. Spivak is a fighter through and through. This is his life, and he will go through a bring wall to win.
Spivak is going to be able to get his hands on Gane at some point, and that’s when the fight will take a dramatic shift. The ground-and-pound will land, and the top pressure will be too much. Gane is either going to look for a way out and give his back, the fight will be stopped due to punches and elbows, or Spivak will lock up a head-and-arm choke.
Making UFC picks is very difficult, and making them this far in advance is even harder. But from the underdog UFC odds of Spivak, this pick is too easy to make. The lines will probably close at closer odds in September.
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