An APEX event is back on the UFC schedule this weekend and one of the most interesting matchups on the card is this women’s strawweight bout between Luana Pinheiro and Angela Hill. Read more for the Pinheiro vs Hill betting analysis and prediction before placing any UFC bets on this weekend’s card.
Will Striking Dominate or Will Takedowns Play a Role? Don’t miss any action with our top scores and odds of the day!
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Fight Details and Betting Pick
Pinheiro vs. Hill Information
Luana Pinheiro vs. Angela Hill
Location of the fight: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri, United States
Date & Time: May 11, 2024. 7 PM ET Main card start
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Pinheiro vs. Hill Picks
- Pick: Hill -135.
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This is a great fight between a dangerous rising contender and a UFC veteran who has seen just about everything in the octagon.
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Last Fight Record
Pinheiro is coming off a tough third-round TKO loss to Amanda Ribas last November.
Hill is coming off a unanimous decision win over Denise Gomes last November as well.
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Pinheiro vs Hill Betting Analysis
Luana Pinheiro
Pinheiro is a Brazilian professional mixed martial artist with a record of 11-2, including 2 TKO/KO wins and 5 submissions under her belt at 31 years old. She is a Judo black belt and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu purple belt, having an accomplished career in the youth amateur Judo ranks.
Luana Pinheiro is listed as a 5’2” orthodox fighter with a 62” reach. She averages 3.89 significant strikes landed and 4.38 absorbed per minute in the UFC. She also gets 2.36 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon while holding a 66% takedown defense.
Angela Hill
Hill is an American MMA fighter with a 16-13 professional record, including 5 TKO/KO victories. She was a 16-0 professional kickboxer with a WKA amateur championship and WIKBA and IMTF pro world titles as well. She switched over to MMA and won an Invicta FC strawweight title and now has the second most bouts in UFC women’s history with 24.
Angela Hill is a 5’3” orthodox kickboxer with a 64” reach at the age of 39. She averages 5.44 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 4.94. She also has a solid 75% takedown defense to keep the fight on her feet.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.
Pinheiro vs Hill Betting Preview
The Pinheiro vs Hill betting analysis can only give you a few ideas about how these ladies match up against each other in the octagon. To get insight into this matchup, you will need to understand the fighting styles of both women and learn about the betting lines both women have going into this weekend.
According to UFC odds to win, Pinheiro is at +115 underdog odds while Hill is coming in as the -135 betting favorite. This bout is favored to go the distance at -475 as well.
Stylistically, both of these women like to stand and bang in the octagon, but they do it in different ways. Pinheiro is very tough and likes to march down opponents while cutting off the cage and landing heavy shots with her hands in boxing range. She wings wild punches sometimes and that can leave her wide open for counters.
Hill is a more technical kickboxer who utilizes front kicks and footwork to control the pacing and distance the fight is fought at over 15 minutes. She also has the experience advantage of having so many fights against so many different styles.
The interesting thing about this fight is both of these women are in different places in their careers. A win for Pinheiro would lead to big fights at future 2024 events and a win for Hill still leaves her in a gatekeeping position at the end of her career.
Pinheiro vs Hill Betting Prediction
Making UFC predictions on fights at this level is very difficult to do because anything can happen in the octagon on any given night.
After breaking down the Pinheiro vs Hill betting analysis and studying the tape on both women, we predict that Hill will get her hand raised on Saturday night. This is going to be a kickboxing fight and Hill is the better kickboxer. When you bet on any upcoming UFC fights, make sure you follow the process that you see was taken to get this pick.
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