UFC Fight Night Tybura vs Spivak Betting Guide Prediction

Tybura vs Spivak Pick Analysis

We have a UFC Fight Night Tybura vs Spivak betting guide for the big heavyweight fight in Las Vegas on Saturday.

A win could put Marcin Tybura or Sergey Spivak into a title contender fight, so it’s an important fight as UFC Apex.

Our UFC predictions have Spivak winning and getting his revenge having lost to Tybura in 2020.

UFC . Saturday August 10, 7:00pm | UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Tybura 25-8-0

VS

Spivak 16-4-0

Matchup

Pick Spivak to win -165

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Tybura vs Spivak Betting Analysis

After opening at -160, money has come for Spivak, and we’re not surprised by the betting market.

His past UFC fights since losing to Tybura have been good, and he has bounced back from losses well in his career.

Tybura’s odds have drifted since opening at +130, and more money could come for Spivak closer to fight time.

Moneyline:Total:

+130U 3.5-155

-160O 3.5-115

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Moneyline:Total:

+135O 3.5-115

-155U 3.5-115

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Moneyline:Total:

+135O 3.5-115

-166U 3.5-115

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Moneyline:Total:

+126O 3.5-110

-170U 3.5-120

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Tybura vs Spivak Betting Preview Updates

The most interesting line with our UFC Fight Night Tybura vs Spivak betting guide is the total rounds.

It’s currently set at 3.5, so the sportsbook believes the fight could go into the deeper rounds. However, Tybura and Spivak don’t usually hang around in the octagon for too long.

We expect money to come for the under, as it has done for Spivak to win the fight outright.

Tybura vs Spivak Recent Results

Tybura Analysis: Polish Fighter Back to His Best

A submission win over Tuivasa has 38-year-old Tybura back to his back, and he could give Spivak a run for his money.

He might be the betting underdog, but the Polish fighter has every chance to win, and he has both power and submission skills.

Scoring a submission win in the opening round against Tuivasa isn’t easy, and it was his power that secured the victory. He knowed the Australian to the ground before locking in the sub, and that was impressive.

He wants to finish Spivak quickly, which adds weight to our under 3.5 rounds pick.

“He’s a tough opponent still and tougher than the first one. It will be tough to finish him in the first,” Tybura said.

“I really got the feeling that when I go to the fight, I just want to do it as quick as possible. It’s a tough fight so we’ll see.”

He doesn’t deserve to be +135, which is a value price for the underdog.

Spivak Analysis: Redemption on His Mind

Nothing went to plan when Spivak lost the first meeting against Tybura, but a lot of water has gone under the bridge since then.

The Moldovan has the age advantage over Tybura, and the 29-year-old is much better with the last four years under his belt.

The only worry with our UFC Fight Night Tybura vs Spivak betting guide is his lack of octagon time in 2024.

It’s his first fight since being knocked out by Gane in September last year, so it’s almost a full year out of the octagon.

However, it has also given him time to prepare for Tybura, and it’s why he’s the -165 favorite.

He looked much better when submitting Derrick Lewis in February last year. It came in the first round, and we think he’ll be aggressive and look to end the fight in the opening round on Saturday night.

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Tybura vs Spivak Betting Prediction

We are backing Spivak to win at -165 and under 3.5 rounds (-115).

Bettors should expect Tybura and Spivak to come out aggressively, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see a first round knockout.

They know what’s at stake in this fight, and they’re not the type to fight passively.

Include both options in your UFC parlays, which pays handsomely.