UFC 295: Jiri Prochazka vs. Alex Pereira Betting Analysis and Prediction

One of the biggest events on the UFC schedule every year is the November PPV at Madison Square Garden. It’s becoming an annual event where the UFC puts together a card that seems too good to be true. We are lucky enough to talk about this light heavyweight title bout between Jiri Prochazka and Alex Pereira that will be nothing but fireworks this weekend.

Continue reading for the official Prochazka vs Pereira prediction ahead of placing your bets on this weekend’s fights.

Prochazka vs. Pereira Information

Jiri Prochazka vs Alex Pereira

Location of the game: Madison Square Garden. New York City, NY.

Date and Time: Saturday, November 11. 9:00 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+ PPV

Last Fight Record

• Prochazka is making his return from shoulder surgery after winning the title via 5th-round submission over Glover Texeira in June of 2022.
• Pereira is coming off a narrow decision victory over Jan Blachowicz in July at UFC 291.

Prochazka vs. Pereira Betting Analysis

Jiri Prochazka

Prochazka is a Czech mixed martial artist with a professional record of 29-3-1 with 25 TKO/KO wins and 3 submissions under his belt. The former Rizin and UFC light heavyweight champion has one of the most unique styles in MMA history.

So far in the UFC, Prochazka averages 5.77 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 5.40 significant strikes coming back at him in that minute. He also holds a solid 68% takedown defense in his first three fights under the UFC banner.

Alex Pereira

Pereira is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 8-2 with 6 TKO/KO wins so far. Before transitioning into MMA, he was a 33-7 (21 KO) kickboxer who was recently named as only the third member of the Glory Kickboxing Hall of Fame.

Now in the UFC, “Poatan” averages an impressive 5.11 to 3.70 significant strikes landed/absorbed ratio and has two highlight reel KOs against the last two UFC middleweight champions. Now at light heavyweight, he will put his 70% takedown defense and world-class striking to the test against the last champion in this division.

Prochazka vs. Pereira Betting Preview

Before making a proper Prochazka vs Pereira prediction, we need to break down how this fight might play out according to the betting lines and the styles of each man.

According to UFC odds, Pereira is the -125 betting favorite over the +105 Prochazka. This fight might be closing at EVEN odds depending on the public’s action before Saturday. Also, the bout is -600 to end inside the distance.

Risky Business

Stylistically, this is an awesome matchup for the UFC to showcase. Prochazka is literally a modern Samurai and has such a unique style in the octagon. He hits opponents at weird angles, with unorthodox timing. The only issue with this matchup is the way he darts into striking range with his hands seemingly at his waist.

Pereira is a technical kickboxer with a very unique style as well. He stands tall and squared up to his opponents, knowing that his power is still devastating even when he quickly whips calf kicks and hooks from that stance. The power of Pereira is enough to end anyone’s night in just one clean punch.

Also, an interesting thing these two have in common is how they were both big names outside of the UFC and then were fast-tracked to title shots in the UFC–and they both proved themselves with massive wins.

Prochazka vs. Pereira Betting Prediction

Making UFC picks against either one of these guys seems impossible right now in their careers. You have question marks with the time away from competing for Prochazka, but he is still a champion and has been training like one.

The official Prochazka vs Pereira prediction is that Prochazka will get the job done and his hand raised. It’s too difficult to bet any method of victory for this one, so just take the underdog moneyline for the former champion.

• UFC 295 Pick: Prochazka will get the job done +105

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