The main event of this UFC Fight Night card coming up this weekend is one of the most interesting bouts to watch all week. No. 10 ranked lightweight contender Grant Dawson will be meeting fan-favorite Bobby Green in the octagon in the UFC APEX on Saturday night. The clash of styles is sure to make for an interesting contest.
Dawson vs Green Pick
awson will get his hand raised. It will be a late-round submission or a decision.
Read more about the next UFC fight this week and get the official Dawson vs Green prediction ahead of making your bets this weekend.
Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green Information
Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green
Location of the fight: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV.
Date and Time: Saturday, October 07. 7:00 PM ET
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
- Dawson is coming off a unanimous decision win over a tough Damir Ismagulov in July.
- Green is coming off an impressive submission victory over the legendary Tony Ferguson in July at UFC 291.
Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green Betting Analysis
Grant Dawson
Dawson is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 20-1-1 with four TKO/KOs, and 13 submission wins at the age of 29. After an impressive performance on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2017, he earned a UFC contract and hasn’t lost yet. “KGD” is listed at 5’10” with a 72″ reach while fighting from both stances in the octagon.
During his UFC tenure thus far, Dawson averages a modest 2.99 significant strikes landed and 2.22 significant strikes absorbed per minute, but where he makes his money is the 3.70 takedowns per 15 minutes in the cage.
Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green this Saturday!!
We’ve got a BANGER of a main event at #UFCVegas80! pic.twitter.com/Oe20IFZ560
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) October 4, 2023
Bobby Green
Green is an American fighter with a professional MMA record of 30-14-1 with ten TKO/KO wins and nine submissions. At the age of 37, Green has been through a lot of ups and downs in his career, from being in prison to being ranked highly in the lightweight division before suffering consecutive losses. This is a chance for him to be right in the mix of the division with a win here.
“King” Green is listed as very similar in size to Dawson, standing at 5’10” with a 71″ reach while fighting out of mainly the orthodox stance. A natural boxer, Green averages an impressive 6.14 significant strikes per minute in the octagon while only absorbing 3.67. His 74% takedown defense will be put to the test against a relentless grappler like Dawson.
Bobby Green’s striking 🔥 pic.twitter.com/nueVi86oKx
— • 𝒮𝓀𝓎𝓁𝑜! (@YT_SKYLO1) October 2, 2023
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the UFC.
Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green Betting Preview
The Dawson vs Green prediction can’t be made just off of the betting analysis portion of this. Previewing the betting lines and breaking down the tape of both athletes is key to determining how the styles will clash in the octagon and how you should bet on this fight.
Starting at the betting lines, Dawson is coming in as a comfortable -525 betting favorite over the +400 underdog in Green. Interestingly, this bout is favored to end inside the distance at -250 odds. The UFC bets coming in already have made this moneyline move a little in Green’s favor.
The Art of Control
The film on both guys shows two very different styles. Dawson is a reserved young man who is a relentless grappler. He will wrestle and wrestle some more until his opponent lets him take the fight to the ground. He has a tight squeeze when he can lock his arms around an opponent’s face that might get a submission just from the pain being caused.
Green is an older fighter with a swagger that no one can replicate. The confidence and talking ability that Green has is a key factor in most of his fights. He wins fights before they even start. He has a slick boxing style where he can see strikes coming quickly and counter them.
It’s very fun to watch. Green also has a very underrated submission game where he can catch people not being sharp on the ground.
Dawson vs. Green Betting Prediction
Making UFC picks is the toughest thing to do in sports. This matchup, with a big favorite, is just another example of how tough this sport is to predict. Green might be a massive underdog, but he has the tools to beat anybody on any given night.
- With that being said, the official Dawson vs Green prediction is that Dawson will get his hand raised. It will be a late-round submission or a decision.
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